Message from @Salo Saloson

Discord ID: 504346934870540288


2018-10-23 17:27:02 UTC  

Sure, but, again, that's not because I'm pro global diversity

2018-10-23 17:27:20 UTC  

Agreed. Wasn't contradicting you; just tacking on another reason.

2018-10-23 17:29:13 UTC  

I am pro messing around with Africa. Too many of them and with climate change making parts of Africa uninhabitable might seriously mess up Europe

2018-10-23 17:29:45 UTC  

Any intelligent person, even liberals, recognize that Africa’s population and rapid growth are a big problem

2018-10-23 17:30:37 UTC  

I'd say the average person has no idea about it

2018-10-23 17:30:54 UTC  

<:nervous:359009898115104770> <:nervous:359009898115104770> <:nervous:359009898115104770> <:nervous:359009898115104770> <:nervous:359009898115104770> <:nervous:359009898115104770> <:nervous:359009898115104770>

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/481597551272001546/504345988924964864/Screen_Shot_2018-10-23_at_1.30.35_PM.png

2018-10-23 17:30:58 UTC  

When they think of Africa they think of starving kids and world hunger

2018-10-23 17:31:08 UTC  

Republicans are inching closer...

2018-10-23 17:31:16 UTC  

I find it amazing that polls change so much

2018-10-23 17:31:27 UTC  

Do people really change their political beliefs weekly?

2018-10-23 17:31:45 UTC  

πŸ‘€ πŸ‘€ πŸ‘€ πŸ‘€ πŸ‘€

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/481597551272001546/504346203606089740/Screen_Shot_2018-10-23_at_1.31.23_PM.png

2018-10-23 17:31:56 UTC  

I don't get how someone can intend to vote Republican one week, Democrat next week, and then Republican again

2018-10-23 17:32:05 UTC  

not necessarily but support comes with certain actions

2018-10-23 17:32:41 UTC  

Nate Silver announced his odds, he things Dems have 86% chance to take the house

2018-10-23 17:32:46 UTC  

It's confusing because when you talk to people in real life, it seems to be really hard to change someone's belief. But, according to these polls, people wake up, join Antifa, quit, and join IE by lunch

2018-10-23 17:32:51 UTC  

For the past week PredictIt has had it at 66%

2018-10-23 17:33:15 UTC  

I still don't know how Nate Silver comes up with the numbers he does

2018-10-23 17:33:39 UTC  

I'm no mean statistics guy, but his numbers don't seem to be based on anything

2018-10-23 17:34:13 UTC  

@Salo Saloson he has homemade mathematical models, they basically plug in polling data, demographics, how the place voted last time, into some kind of model that spits out his probabilities.

2018-10-23 17:34:23 UTC  

The models in theory are tested on data from prior elections

2018-10-23 17:34:39 UTC  

... I don't know how much faith I have in his models

2018-10-23 17:34:41 UTC  

historically democrats will rule the house

2018-10-23 17:34:43 UTC  

but I think it's around none

2018-10-23 17:35:17 UTC  

also historically republicans would've won the last election

2018-10-23 17:36:31 UTC  

The polls don't vary that much. It's a small share of the population that starts undecided and shrinks as the campaign goes on. Also, much of who wins is decided by the base's turnout, not swing voters

2018-10-23 17:36:33 UTC  

>tfw state doesn’t have early voting

2018-10-23 17:36:35 UTC  

Mad

2018-10-23 17:36:45 UTC  

@Procella Eques Let's hope the Trump phenomenon continues and he glitches the system once again...

2018-10-23 17:36:57 UTC  

Flying back from England the day before the election to go smash that vote in

2018-10-23 17:37:00 UTC  

No excuses fam

2018-10-23 17:37:22 UTC  

I'm getting my early vote in sometime this week

2018-10-23 17:37:24 UTC  

historically people tend to forget to vote in midterms

2018-10-23 17:37:30 UTC  

and the angry party wins out

2018-10-23 17:37:34 UTC  

not that I really trust my vote to change much

2018-10-23 17:37:42 UTC  

Definitely gonna bet on silvers odds after trump πŸ˜‚

2018-10-23 17:37:44 UTC  

If you were a naive 20 year old and in Philadelphia on election night, you would have thought he was gonna lose.

2018-10-23 17:37:45 UTC  

everyone of you should vote

2018-10-23 17:37:48 UTC  

voting does matter

2018-10-23 17:38:23 UTC  

Not in Massachusetts

2018-10-23 17:38:32 UTC  

shhh, keep it down, don't let the minorities know

2018-10-23 17:38:33 UTC  

However blackpill any liberal friends you have on it