Message from @Salo Saloson
Discord ID: 504346934870540288
Sure, but, again, that's not because I'm pro global diversity
Agreed. Wasn't contradicting you; just tacking on another reason.
I am pro messing around with Africa. Too many of them and with climate change making parts of Africa uninhabitable might seriously mess up Europe
Any intelligent person, even liberals, recognize that Africaβs population and rapid growth are a big problem
I'd say the average person has no idea about it
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When they think of Africa they think of starving kids and world hunger
Republicans are inching closer...
I find it amazing that polls change so much
Do people really change their political beliefs weekly?
π π π π π
I don't get how someone can intend to vote Republican one week, Democrat next week, and then Republican again
not necessarily but support comes with certain actions
Nate Silver announced his odds, he things Dems have 86% chance to take the house
It's confusing because when you talk to people in real life, it seems to be really hard to change someone's belief. But, according to these polls, people wake up, join Antifa, quit, and join IE by lunch
For the past week PredictIt has had it at 66%
I still don't know how Nate Silver comes up with the numbers he does
I'm no mean statistics guy, but his numbers don't seem to be based on anything
@Salo Saloson he has homemade mathematical models, they basically plug in polling data, demographics, how the place voted last time, into some kind of model that spits out his probabilities.
The models in theory are tested on data from prior elections
historically democrats will rule the house
but I think it's around none
also historically republicans would've won the last election
The polls don't vary that much. It's a small share of the population that starts undecided and shrinks as the campaign goes on. Also, much of who wins is decided by the base's turnout, not swing voters
>tfw state doesnβt have early voting
Mad
@Procella Eques Let's hope the Trump phenomenon continues and he glitches the system once again...
Flying back from England the day before the election to go smash that vote in
No excuses fam
I'm getting my early vote in sometime this week
historically people tend to forget to vote in midterms
and the angry party wins out
not that I really trust my vote to change much
Definitely gonna bet on silvers odds after trump π
If you were a naive 20 year old and in Philadelphia on election night, you would have thought he was gonna lose.
everyone of you should vote
voting does matter
Not in Massachusetts
shhh, keep it down, don't let the minorities know
However blackpill any liberal friends you have on it