realz

Discord ID: 116384669015998466


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2020-11-04 01:22:18 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #general-chat]  

Hi

2020-11-04 03:38:19 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/771201221145919499/773390647466000394/Screenshot_20201103-223750.png

2020-11-04 03:38:38 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

It flipped, trump costs 77cents

2020-11-04 03:56:52 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

@xephael yes, predictit

2020-11-04 04:39:31 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

Don't use predictit

2020-11-04 04:39:50 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

They have a 10% fee on profits, and a 5% fee on total withdrawal

2020-11-04 04:41:14 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

This also makes their market have an error compared to the other foreign markets (see the RCP betting odds average for a list; the entire list stayed within 2% of eachother, while predictit was wildly different)

2020-11-04 05:03:07 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

I managed to get a snapshot of predictit again

2020-11-04 05:03:13 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/771201221145919499/773412011840372736/Screenshot_20201104-000235.png

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/771201221145919499/773412012134891530/Screenshot_20201104-000230.png

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/771201221145919499/773412012486033429/Screenshot_20201104-000220.png

2020-11-04 15:11:34 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/771201221145919499/773565111948410900/Screenshot_20201104-101107.png

2020-11-04 15:11:48 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

Seems like it can be overcome

2020-11-04 15:12:24 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

And the ballots left might be almost all blue if the remaining ballots are from mail in votes

2020-11-04 15:13:53 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

67% of counties or 67% of ballots

2020-11-04 15:14:30 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

Because if it is all mail in ballots left, it is likely to get more blue

2020-11-04 17:47:58 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

Same day registration

2020-11-04 17:48:21 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/771201221145919499/773604564531937340/tenor_4.gif

2020-11-04 17:49:15 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

(:

2020-11-04 17:51:28 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

It might not be available

2020-11-04 17:51:58 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

My point was that it isnt really crazy to have more voters than old registration numbers

2020-11-04 17:52:11 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

I don't have the numbers myself

2020-11-04 17:54:12 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

I doubt any fishy business will be enough that if corrected for will change anything

2020-11-04 17:54:33 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

The sharpies are interesting though

2020-11-04 17:54:58 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

Maybe a recount or something might flip some places

2020-11-04 17:57:10 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

Yes, I think Robert said he did

2020-11-04 17:57:19 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

But he also said his was definitely counted

2020-11-04 17:57:43 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

But other counties are rumoring that there issues with this

2020-11-04 17:58:22 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

Woah

2020-11-04 17:59:53 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

Wow that's pretty interesting

2020-11-04 18:03:04 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

Which state is that?

2020-11-04 18:03:15 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

Ack

2020-11-04 18:12:52 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

Not enough information

2020-11-04 18:13:39 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

It might be that some sharpies are ok

2020-11-04 18:13:51 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

Just not enough info

2020-11-04 18:17:53 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

Cryptocurrency, like bitcoin

2020-11-04 18:18:03 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

The same technology can be used for voting

2020-11-04 18:18:56 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

Can have some nice features like transparency, publicly auditable, cryptographically secure, and with some finesse, anonymity

2020-11-04 18:19:02 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

In theory yes

2020-11-04 18:19:06 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

In practice no

2020-11-04 18:19:32 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

It would raise so many other issues

2020-11-04 18:19:42 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

You'd need a cryptographically secure id

2020-11-04 18:19:55 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

So you'd have to win the voter id fight first

2020-11-04 18:20:28 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

It does

2020-11-04 18:20:44 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

But there are fights all over the US claiming that some people don't have ids

2020-11-04 18:21:09 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

And that voter id laws are about disenfranchising minorities

2020-11-04 18:21:41 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

The argument is separate from the implications

2020-11-04 18:21:59 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

If we can't agree on that, we aren't doing anything like blockchain

2020-11-04 18:23:34 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

@DeathRhodes666 there is no point arguing with me about it lol, you preaching to the choir

2020-11-04 18:24:49 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

There are some good ancillary arguments of general voter suppression

2020-11-04 18:26:25 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

I think that a moderate democrat could be convinced to change their focus from banning voter ID requirements, to requiring the government to ensure free ID enfranchisement

2020-11-04 18:26:57 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

Getting an ID in NYC took me an entire afternoon(12-5pm) and something like 60 bucks

2020-11-04 18:27:03 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

That is insane

2020-11-04 18:27:34 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

FL was the best experience with ID

2020-11-04 18:27:48 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

Felt like 5 minutes and the fee was miniscule

2020-11-04 18:28:32 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

PA was midling

2020-11-04 18:28:39 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

I had to wait a while

2020-11-04 18:28:51 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

Can't recall the fee but it wasn't insane

2020-11-04 18:29:51 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

PA raise your hand ๐Ÿ‘‹

2020-11-04 18:30:26 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

@TacitusKilgore yea right now everyone is arguing about that issue in bad faith

2020-11-04 18:30:50 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

But I think headway could be made if they worked together

2020-11-04 18:31:02 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

But there is no real incentive to right now

2020-11-04 18:31:11 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

It's perfect issue for both sides

2020-11-04 18:31:57 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

Point being, blockchain or whatever doesn't stand a chance currently

2020-11-04 18:33:17 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

I don't think it has anything to do with some deadline

2020-11-04 18:33:43 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

Technological change

2020-11-04 18:33:51 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

Internet

2020-11-04 18:33:54 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

Urbanization

2020-11-04 18:34:14 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

I think people see patterns too much

2020-11-04 18:34:29 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

The rome trope raises my skeptical meters to full

2020-11-04 19:30:27 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

that wasn't meant to attract minorities

2020-11-04 19:30:32 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

they already had minorities in the bag

2020-11-04 19:30:43 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

that was meant to attract so called "allies"

2020-11-04 19:30:56 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

fire them up etc.

2020-11-04 19:31:12 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

Biden wasn't even that strong on that sort of thing

2020-11-04 19:31:19 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

(he isn't very woke personally)

2020-11-04 19:33:00 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

and you point out the irony that focusing on racial inequalities did not help or perhaps harmed their minority vote numbers

2020-11-04 19:33:14 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

and I am saying I don't think the did that expecting a larger minority vote

2020-11-04 19:40:53 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/771201221145919499/773632886678618142/UF6Hh52J0CAAAECBAgQIECAwGACAo7BqFVEIISUEIkTAQIECBAgQIAAAQIECHQXEHB0N7MHgbkFBBxz09mRAAECBAgQIECAAAECj.png

2020-11-04 19:41:00 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

(NYT)

2020-11-04 19:42:05 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

there may be late mail ins as well

2020-11-04 21:32:29 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

I think people just need to unknow that common forms of news media and social media are unbiased in any fashion, and reknow that they are basically party platforms

2020-11-04 21:32:44 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

using Facebook is basically giving money and power to the DNC, nothing short

2020-11-04 21:33:11 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

however, this knowledge will lead to a bifurcation of media, and a bifurcation of employers, and businesses

2020-11-05 00:07:25 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

NYT has an EC view

2020-11-05 00:08:07 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/771201221145919499/773700138350018601/aa85ae1e-fbd0-47f4-a899-d1d993921f27.png

2020-11-05 04:34:11 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #election2020]  

wow that is pretty cool

2020-11-05 19:42:14 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #general-chat]  
2020-11-05 19:44:52 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #general-chat]  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/772982351520333824/773996274885066772/af0ce0c3-734c-4183-b257-c247c0dbbc75.png

2020-11-05 19:44:57 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #general-chat]  

I drew lines

2020-11-05 19:45:07 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #general-chat]  

but he has to win PA

2020-11-05 19:45:11 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #general-chat]  

and PA isn't looking good

2020-11-05 19:45:18 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #general-chat]  

NC is a maybe

2020-11-05 19:45:24 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #general-chat]  

GA is maybe last time I checked

2020-11-05 19:45:41 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #general-chat]  

he must win AZ or NE and both are maybe

2020-11-05 19:46:23 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #general-chat]  

obviously flipping WI via court or something would be useful

2020-11-05 20:11:34 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #general-chat]  

there is too much sarcasm to make sense of what you are saying @Zuluzeit

2020-11-05 20:12:16 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #general-chat]  

@shaunm109 from the numbers, it seems like yes, though some people might know more about what kinds of votes and from where are left to count and know more

2020-11-05 20:14:10 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #general-chat]  

@Zuluzeit I am sorry I don't understand you

2020-11-05 20:15:15 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #floyd]  

@Doc where?

2020-11-05 20:15:34 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #floyd]  

cool ๐Ÿ‘‹

2020-11-05 20:15:59 UTC [RobertGrulerEsq #floyd]  

ha I meant it in the "that's interesting" sense

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