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If the Democrats retake the House, this is how they will do it. Whole spreadsheet here. If you're trying to predict who will control the House next year, look at the seats right at the tipping point.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uABTBT4gxFIRt_G_Cy-CKA9wjz4KVUKtSnhoVln6D6A/edit#gid=1690904613

Anyone online?

No, go away.

Hello

Hi.

So apparently people are still up in arms about the president wanting Russia back in the G8 because of “muh Crimea”

Looks like a painting, doesn't it?

Just look at the body language.

Yep.

Lol it looks like Trump is in a time out chair and they are all lecturing him about bad behavior

And Trump is just like "does it look like l give a fuck?"

Nope.

It looks like Trump, Abe, & allies are up against Merkel and Juncker.

The EU is making demands and passively making concessions. Trump is refusing to let go of anything but he's getting them to surrender little by little.

Good stuff

Hey guys

Found something interesting about the NFL

https://www.yahoo.com/news/eye-bernie-sanders-democratic-national-committee-adopts-new-restrictions-2020-presidential-candidates-225841348.html

guys

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gfQqdg-2fmw&t=6591s

it is fucking happening

they are literally chasing police away

throwing trash at government buildings

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v9q-0wj31-E

Wow

@Pielover19 remember how we briefly talked about making a "best case scenario" map for the House races ? Can you prep that up real quick ?

best case scenario as in -> winnable through a hard fought properly done campaign and solid Trump performance

we're not talking about rare cases like Feinstein dying and being replaced by John Podesta who gets exposed for Pizzagate

so basically, stuff like winning all lean/likely Republicans, all tossups, all lean D's

even if that happened then De Leon would win lul

oh yeah, brainfart, forgot about that

replace 'Feinstein' with 'Gillibrand' then

yeah

or Warren

yeah, best case for senate is something like beating Bob Menendez, Tim Kaine, Tina Smith, Amy Klobuchar, Bob Casey, etc

not beating Bernie Sanders

technically, it *could* happen, but it's not really something to aim for

of course, yes

I'm at dinner. Will make it if you remind me in about two hours.

Hi at dinner. Will make it if you remind me in about two hours., I'm Dad!

h

@Pielover19 it's been 2 hours, get to work 😃

Alright.

http://www.270towin.com/2018-house-election/LKGLGGp

Absolute best case scenario.

@Pielover19 I can envision better.

How so?

This is just the realistic scenario.

There's still a few districts that could be won, were recently won, or could be subject to anti-gerrymandering rulings this year. In particular, there's one district of MA that a moderate could win, potentially up to three in Maryland (best case scenario), and maybe a couple other districts we just recently lost.

http://www.270towin.com/2018-house-election/1ld92eK

Moderates could win DE-AL, MA-9, IL-10, and a few MD districts that could be gained via the WI/MD gerrymandering case.

That said, Wisconsin (in a realistic best case scenario) could win its case while Maryland could lose its case, despite the obvious fact that the SCOTUS would prefer to appear bipartisan, based on the fact that Maryland's 2010 redistricting scheme is both visibly worse and also was fairly transparently discussed--allowing the Supreme Court to see that there was motive, which is not so clearly visible in the Wisconsin case.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections,_1932

lol look at this pickup in 1932 when Roosevelt trounced Hoover

D's won 97 seats

went from 216 to 313

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections,_1936

4 years later, the total went up to 334

the Republicans only had 88 seats after that

Florida Senate GE:
Rick Scott (R) 48% (+3)
Bill Nelson (D-inc) 45%

Cherry Communications/@FlChamber 5/25-6/4
https://t.co/i59fZUq1i5 #FLsen

My call for US congressional redistricting after the 2020 census based on current population growth rates.
Yellow=losing a district for sure
Purple= possibly losing a district
Green= gaining a district for sure
Blue= Possibly gaining a district.

>California

>no possibility of losing a district

I am not sure honestly.

The population for LA has slowing down.

Purple mate. Also, Louisiana could also gain a district; our population actually grew after Katrina.

The state missed its 40 million in 2016.

@Nuke You lost a district after the 2010 census.

Correct. We lost a district but gained in population, just not fast enough to make up for the increased counting of illegals.

Interesting.

Also Popeyes chicken sucks.

It hasn't been good in years.

And Louisiana's population has only grown by 3.3% since 2010.

At the most, you may grow by 5% by 2020.

So uh

Did you factor the census changes?

The Northeast looks OK because states there have illegals.

But Minnesota, Florida, California, New Mexico, Texas, and Arizona look weird.

I am aware that the census changes.

But states like Illinois has had a negative growth rate since 2010.

Don't worry. They're certain to lose seats because of illegals in the first place.

Ohio's population isn't doing well either.

The county I am in has had a negative growth rate since 2010.

Hah, just looked up another statistic and found a funny tidbit: North Dakota, with 12.5% growth, definitely does not qualify.

It'll stay At-Large.

Most likely

The population hasn't hit 1 million yet.

Montana was considered in 2010 to gain a congressional district, but fell short.

Yeah, Montana has had potential every census since they lost their second district.

Given Rhode Island has two districts with a mere ~500K people each, Montana really deserves one.

https://mobile.twitter.com/dontdome13/status/1004787855250591745?s=19

Based

Trudeau wears fake eyebrows

Please spread

https://youtu.be/RcfzI9u5yvI

California falls further into degeneracy

Imagine all those hot Californian days

Along with the unbathed due to the water rationing.

Time to make the state declare its independence

I saw that a while ago.

Anyone online?

This is what Apple Promotes

@Rhodesiaboo I love how none of them actually look like functional people despite apple's attempt to make the iconic styles look clean

@Rhodesiaboo no

@Lotus Calme In that sense the art is realistic

Yep.

They all look like trash on parade.

Yup

Apparently there’s going to be a part 2 to the pride parade in LA

Either today or tomorrow

*Praying to god that someone crashes it and BTFOs the gays*

That one time BLM disrupted a pride parade.
*Rubs hands vigorously*
Yes, yes! Let our enemies fight each other

The part 2 is today

It’s around 4 to 4:30 p.m.

We need tank nigga to steal another APC and drive it around and ruin the parade

<:tanknigga:455268932152983562>

Let the aids be crushed under his wheels, the quest for his anime wife is not done yet

Here’s some twitter cringe I’ve collected

MAKE. IT. STOP!!!!

It’s not as much as my usual hauls but still

I’ll get rid of the images with the deep sea creatures and put it in blue scare

There we go

Ok the last two images made me want to throw up

And we’re supposed to treat those things as people

G a s t h e g a y a w a y

Mixed in these tweets are some casual anti white racism and some anti cop stuff

And one is basically sayin the pride parade stuff should go back to being a riot

Gays beating each other up?
Why's that a bad thing?
<:drewmiller:423319800215764993>

Because normal straight people’s businesses and property can be harmed as well as normal straight people could be physically harmed

we must physically remove the subversives from our society

to live in a utopia

Yo free me nigga

Free tank nigga!!

Tank nigga did nothing wrong!!

another angle of the painting-esque pic

wtf is going on in the other channel lmao

we're boiling the californians

Hey guys

Just mute it

This spam is out of my control.

@FLanon I will say this

Trump may be failing on immigration,

but I think he's doing a great job on trade thus far

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1006003345360908295

Good stuff

Trump Job Approval:
Approve 40%
Disapprove 53%

@YouGovUS 6/7-8
https://t.co/6InQg36lA9

yeah he really has been putting them in a vice

I think that seeing the Democrats on Twitter praise the Koch Bros. to denounce Trump was one of the best moments of my life.

I've noticed a pattern

Democrats in Whiter state with higher concentrations of blue-collar White constituents are supporting Trump's tariffs

Like Sherrod Brown in Ohio

Yep.

Bob Casey basically renounced his anti-nuclear agenda in favor of WWC too.

But they're still all hard-left on immigration.

Pro-DACA, anti-Wall

Georgia Governor - Republican Primary Runoff:
Cagle 48% (+7)
Kemp 41%

Rosetta Stone 6/7

Georgia Governor - Republican Primary Runoff:
Cagle 48% (+7)
Kemp 41%

Rosetta Stone 6/7
https://t.co/VkbPUM7y9x #GAgov

And they say automation is better than regular people.

Maryland Governor - Democratic Primary:
Jealous 16%
Baker 16%
Ervin 5%
Madaleno 4%
Shea 4%
Vignarajah 4%
Ross 1%
Someone else 6%
Undecided 44%

OpinionWorks/University of Baltimore/@baltimoresun 5/29-6/6
https://t.co/wqpYBAhdDd #MDgov https://t.co/O0BKJAzG27

LOUISIANA
Trump Job Approval:
Approve 56%
Disapprove 35%

JMC Analytics 5/29-30
https://t.co/yWdrdiVgtt

Of course.

Wow

Whites in Louisiana support Trump 76% to 18%

But only 10% of Blacks in Louisiana support Trump

A fair number of people think along blackpill sort of lines

They won't approve because he's not far-right enough.

But this has shrunk drastically

I assume a disproportionate number of Whites who disapprove of Trump are concentrated in New Orleans
either that or,
Many Whites are angry that Trump isn't Whitening Louisiana like they had expected

Putting aside the fact that he has a (D) next to his name, how would you rate your governor @Nuke

Does the fact he is a White Southern Male help him stay electable

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 maybe like

not too bad I guess

He's reelectable.

I won't vote for him.

All he's done to really rustle my jimmies is his geographically unequal tax-cutting

He fucked over people in the New Orleans region since he doesn't need our votes (minority-majority area) and cut taxes for everyone else

Louisiana ex-slaves BTFO

The largest minority-majority city in the state still gets tax cuts though

He only fucked up New Orleans and all of its suburbs and the rural areas outside of them.

But mostly just New Orleans and to a somewhat lesser extent suburbs

He also vetoed some public works projects in my area too, but it was mostly minor.

Also before he cut taxes unequally he abolished most of the Jindal tax cuts by executive fiat

And because we were running a deficit, the legislature couldn't issue a veto override

https://www.google.com/amp/www.breitbart.com/big-government/2018/06/09/poll-trump-beats-obamas-approval-gop-voters-more-eager-than-dems-for-midterms/amp/

2 #NEW #FLsen Polls:

Rick Scott (R) 48% (+3)
Bill Nelson (D-inc) 45%
Cherry Communications/@FlChamber
https://t.co/2KaA18VGQ0

Rick Scott (R) 40% (+1)
Bill Nelson (D-inc) 39%
@POLITICO/@AARP poll
https://t.co/sYcTNLug4a

@FLanon RICK SCOTT BTFO

Only in the lead...<:wojaktrump:422438927631384577>

IT'S OVER

Hopefully Scott can maintain or increase that lead

(((Krassenstein)))

http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/390229-koch-brothers-group-launches-ads-backing-vulnerable-dem-senator

Commence Democrat cocksucking

@ThatRightWingFish That enthusiasm gap is the best part about it, that was killing us for the past few months, if R enthusiasm is higher than D enthusiasm, we are in a very good spot.

Plus Rick Scott beating Nelson is nice.

Fuck the Koch brothers though

Trump Job Approval:
Approve 47%
Disapprove 52%

@Rasmussen_Poll 6/6-10
https://t.co/YFPdGGPjZ2

Net neutrality ends today boys. Can I get a T pose in the chat for respect

oh wow the internet is literally dead

And everyone forgot about it

Net Neutrality is gone!!!

Millions will die!!!

Hahhaa

All those people who made a big deal about it

Well the ”net neutrality protection” is still here, tomorrow Net Neutrality dies

The amount of delays on this is ridiculous.

Can someone enlighten me how Net Neutrality is a bad thing? I’ve only heard one side of the argument and not much the other side.

@GermanEastAfrica It's just a massive blanket government regulation policy.

Basically, companies all have to provide the same price per rate no matter how much data a website uses.

Internet service providers treat all data the same.

whether you're reading a document, or streaming porn, even though one is extremely more taxing and requires more data.

same rate.

Right but doesn’t that mean that people will have to pay more for certain websites based off of data usage?

Theoretically, it can happen, but it's extremely rare. Furthermore, the US didn't have Net Neutrality until 2015, and it was still extremely rare companies would do that.

because it pisses off their consumers.

I think it's literally happened twice.

And IF it does.

Right I was just clarifying

This is the best part.

Even if it does happen:

Since ISPs are regarded as natural monopolies, or legal monopolies, if they do throttle, block, or majorly over charge users more for a specific website, the consumer can take them to court under consumer protection or anti-trust laws.

And usually win.

In the technical parts of it:

internet service providers are being designated back as an information service, which they were for most of American history, it wasn't until 2015 Obama's FCC unilaterally made them a telecommunications service. As an information service the FTC has jurisdiction to intervene in anti-trust and consumer protections issues.

I see, so the whole save net neutrality thing is pretty much a big overreaction to ending a policy that allows for more government control

yes.

It's really not a big deal at all.

You hear about what the EU is doing with their internet policies?

yeah but I don't really follow it.

I don't know what's happening.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=fvXOfq3AB8s

This should help explain

One of the major points is that you will have to pay a fine for links or something of that manner

https://t.co/0y2qFW2wMM?amp=1

<@&414477409367359498> Elect this man ASAP