Message from @Nuke

Discord ID: 455211882685661184


2018-06-10 01:09:17 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/455176594953338891/RealisticBestCaseScenarioHouse.PNG

2018-06-10 01:27:25 UTC  

Moderates could win DE-AL, MA-9, IL-10, and a few MD districts that could be gained via the WI/MD gerrymandering case.

2018-06-10 01:29:32 UTC  

That said, Wisconsin (in a realistic best case scenario) could win its case while Maryland could lose its case, despite the obvious fact that the SCOTUS would prefer to appear bipartisan, based on the fact that Maryland's 2010 redistricting scheme is both visibly worse and also was fairly transparently discussed--allowing the Supreme Court to see that there was motive, which is not so clearly visible in the Wisconsin case.

2018-06-10 01:52:20 UTC  

lol look at this pickup in 1932 when Roosevelt trounced Hoover

2018-06-10 01:52:28 UTC  

D's won 97 seats

2018-06-10 01:52:38 UTC  

went from 216 to 313

2018-06-10 01:53:21 UTC  

4 years later, the total went up to 334

2018-06-10 01:53:30 UTC  

the Republicans only had 88 seats after that

2018-06-10 02:35:48 UTC  

Florida Senate GE:
Rick Scott (R) 48% (+3)
Bill Nelson (D-inc) 45%

Cherry Communications/@FlChamber 5/25-6/4
https://t.co/i59fZUq1i5 #FLsen

2018-06-10 03:26:08 UTC  

My call for US congressional redistricting after the 2020 census based on current population growth rates.
Yellow=losing a district for sure
Purple= possibly losing a district
Green= gaining a district for sure
Blue= Possibly gaining a district.

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/455211036224520192/Screen_Shot_2018-06-09_at_11.23.40_PM.png

2018-06-10 03:27:11 UTC  

>California

2018-06-10 03:27:17 UTC  

>no possibility of losing a district

2018-06-10 03:27:47 UTC  

I am not sure honestly.

2018-06-10 03:28:04 UTC  

The population for LA has slowing down.

2018-06-10 03:28:20 UTC  

Purple mate. Also, Louisiana could also gain a district; our population actually grew after Katrina.

2018-06-10 03:28:34 UTC  

The state missed its 40 million in 2016.

2018-06-10 03:28:50 UTC  

@Nuke You lost a district after the 2010 census.

2018-06-10 03:29:30 UTC  

Correct. We lost a district but gained in population, just not fast enough to make up for the increased counting of illegals.

2018-06-10 03:29:51 UTC  

Interesting.

2018-06-10 03:30:19 UTC  

Also Popeyes chicken sucks.

2018-06-10 03:30:31 UTC  

It hasn't been good in years.

2018-06-10 03:30:51 UTC  

And Louisiana's population has only grown by 3.3% since 2010.

2018-06-10 03:31:15 UTC  

At the most, you may grow by 5% by 2020.

2018-06-10 03:33:39 UTC  

So uh

2018-06-10 03:33:47 UTC  

Did you factor the census changes?

2018-06-10 03:34:02 UTC  

The Northeast looks OK because states there have illegals.

2018-06-10 03:34:18 UTC  

But Minnesota, Florida, California, New Mexico, Texas, and Arizona look weird.

2018-06-10 03:34:23 UTC  

I am aware that the census changes.

2018-06-10 03:34:41 UTC  

But states like Illinois has had a negative growth rate since 2010.

2018-06-10 03:34:59 UTC  

Don't worry. They're certain to lose seats because of illegals in the first place.

2018-06-10 03:35:16 UTC  

Ohio's population isn't doing well either.

2018-06-10 03:35:28 UTC  

The county I am in has had a negative growth rate since 2010.

2018-06-10 03:36:52 UTC  

Hah, just looked up another statistic and found a funny tidbit: North Dakota, with 12.5% growth, definitely does not qualify.

2018-06-10 03:36:58 UTC  

It'll stay At-Large.

2018-06-10 03:37:15 UTC  

Most likely

2018-06-10 03:37:28 UTC  

The population hasn't hit 1 million yet.

2018-06-10 03:37:47 UTC  

Montana was considered in 2010 to gain a congressional district, but fell short.

2018-06-10 03:38:26 UTC  

Yeah, Montana has had potential every census since they lost their second district.