Message from @The Gaddafist

Discord ID: 455146118947536903


2018-06-09 20:19:38 UTC  

it is fucking happening

2018-06-09 20:19:47 UTC  

they are literally chasing police away

2018-06-09 20:19:59 UTC  

throwing trash at government buildings

2018-06-09 21:04:55 UTC  

Wow

2018-06-09 21:53:40 UTC  

@Pielover19 remember how we briefly talked about making a "best case scenario" map for the House races ? Can you prep that up real quick ?

2018-06-09 21:55:08 UTC  

best case scenario as in -> winnable through a hard fought properly done campaign and solid Trump performance

we're not talking about rare cases like Feinstein dying and being replaced by John Podesta who gets exposed for Pizzagate

2018-06-09 21:55:29 UTC  

so basically, stuff like winning all lean/likely Republicans, all tossups, all lean D's

2018-06-09 21:59:57 UTC  

even if that happened then De Leon would win lul

2018-06-09 22:00:33 UTC  

oh yeah, brainfart, forgot about that

2018-06-09 22:00:46 UTC  

replace 'Feinstein' with 'Gillibrand' then

2018-06-09 22:00:49 UTC  

yeah

2018-06-09 22:00:54 UTC  

or Warren

2018-06-09 22:01:37 UTC  

yeah, best case for senate is something like beating Bob Menendez, Tim Kaine, Tina Smith, Amy Klobuchar, Bob Casey, etc

2018-06-09 22:01:44 UTC  

not beating Bernie Sanders

2018-06-09 22:01:58 UTC  

technically, it *could* happen, but it's not really something to aim for

2018-06-09 22:02:13 UTC  

of course, yes

2018-06-09 22:33:52 UTC  

I'm at dinner. Will make it if you remind me in about two hours.

2018-06-09 22:33:52 UTC  

Hi at dinner. Will make it if you remind me in about two hours., I'm Dad!

2018-06-09 23:08:10 UTC  

h

2018-06-10 00:27:18 UTC  

@Pielover19 it's been 2 hours, get to work 😃

2018-06-10 00:36:03 UTC  

Alright.

2018-06-10 00:48:51 UTC  

Absolute best case scenario.

2018-06-10 01:01:47 UTC  

@Pielover19 I can envision better.

2018-06-10 01:02:07 UTC  

How so?

2018-06-10 01:02:16 UTC  

This is just the realistic scenario.

2018-06-10 01:04:25 UTC  

There's still a few districts that could be won, were recently won, or could be subject to anti-gerrymandering rulings this year. In particular, there's one district of MA that a moderate could win, potentially up to three in Maryland (best case scenario), and maybe a couple other districts we just recently lost.

2018-06-10 01:09:17 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/455176594953338891/RealisticBestCaseScenarioHouse.PNG

2018-06-10 01:27:25 UTC  

Moderates could win DE-AL, MA-9, IL-10, and a few MD districts that could be gained via the WI/MD gerrymandering case.

2018-06-10 01:29:32 UTC  

That said, Wisconsin (in a realistic best case scenario) could win its case while Maryland could lose its case, despite the obvious fact that the SCOTUS would prefer to appear bipartisan, based on the fact that Maryland's 2010 redistricting scheme is both visibly worse and also was fairly transparently discussed--allowing the Supreme Court to see that there was motive, which is not so clearly visible in the Wisconsin case.

2018-06-10 01:52:20 UTC  

lol look at this pickup in 1932 when Roosevelt trounced Hoover

2018-06-10 01:52:28 UTC  

D's won 97 seats

2018-06-10 01:52:38 UTC  

went from 216 to 313

2018-06-10 01:53:21 UTC  

4 years later, the total went up to 334

2018-06-10 01:53:30 UTC  

the Republicans only had 88 seats after that

2018-06-10 02:35:48 UTC  

Florida Senate GE:
Rick Scott (R) 48% (+3)
Bill Nelson (D-inc) 45%

Cherry Communications/@FlChamber 5/25-6/4
https://t.co/i59fZUq1i5 #FLsen