Message from @The Gaddafist
Discord ID: 455146118947536903
it is fucking happening
they are literally chasing police away
throwing trash at government buildings
Wow
@Pielover19 remember how we briefly talked about making a "best case scenario" map for the House races ? Can you prep that up real quick ?
best case scenario as in -> winnable through a hard fought properly done campaign and solid Trump performance
we're not talking about rare cases like Feinstein dying and being replaced by John Podesta who gets exposed for Pizzagate
so basically, stuff like winning all lean/likely Republicans, all tossups, all lean D's
even if that happened then De Leon would win lul
oh yeah, brainfart, forgot about that
replace 'Feinstein' with 'Gillibrand' then
yeah
or Warren
yeah, best case for senate is something like beating Bob Menendez, Tim Kaine, Tina Smith, Amy Klobuchar, Bob Casey, etc
not beating Bernie Sanders
technically, it *could* happen, but it's not really something to aim for
of course, yes
I'm at dinner. Will make it if you remind me in about two hours.
Hi at dinner. Will make it if you remind me in about two hours., I'm Dad!
@Pielover19 it's been 2 hours, get to work 😃
Alright.
Absolute best case scenario.
@Pielover19 I can envision better.
How so?
This is just the realistic scenario.
There's still a few districts that could be won, were recently won, or could be subject to anti-gerrymandering rulings this year. In particular, there's one district of MA that a moderate could win, potentially up to three in Maryland (best case scenario), and maybe a couple other districts we just recently lost.
Moderates could win DE-AL, MA-9, IL-10, and a few MD districts that could be gained via the WI/MD gerrymandering case.
That said, Wisconsin (in a realistic best case scenario) could win its case while Maryland could lose its case, despite the obvious fact that the SCOTUS would prefer to appear bipartisan, based on the fact that Maryland's 2010 redistricting scheme is both visibly worse and also was fairly transparently discussed--allowing the Supreme Court to see that there was motive, which is not so clearly visible in the Wisconsin case.
lol look at this pickup in 1932 when Roosevelt trounced Hoover
D's won 97 seats
went from 216 to 313
4 years later, the total went up to 334
the Republicans only had 88 seats after that
Florida Senate GE:
Rick Scott (R) 48% (+3)
Bill Nelson (D-inc) 45%
Cherry Communications/@FlChamber 5/25-6/4
https://t.co/i59fZUq1i5 #FLsen