All of which conformed to the generic ballot

But the approval ratings suggest otherwise.

Which is currently dem +6

This is about Trump, not his party.

I’m talking about actual votes, not approval ratings

The actual votes were back in 2016

Anything between then is not a representative.

Mhm, the 3 years after 2016 are more recent than 2016 honey

Of course they are

Because we get this

> "Nearly two-thirds of the Trump voters who said they voted for Democratic congressional candidates in 2018 say that they’ll back the president against all three named opponents."
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/11/04/upshot/one-year-from-election-trump-trails-biden-but-leads-warren-in-battlegrounds.html

Trump was very much “on the ballot”

...yes

No, he wasn't.

His party was.

Let’s walk through that statement

Nearly 2/3rds

This is what people said in 2010 about Obama.

That is catastrophic for trump

Not really, combined with the people who *didn't* vote.

That's a good sign.

2012 also conformed to the generic ballot

That means a full 1/3rd of people who voted for trump in 2016 but voted for a dem in 2018 are definitely voting against him in 2020

Not exactly

That is not a good sign for trump- it’s a sign of...

Many of those haven't made their mind up.

HIS BASE SHRINKING

No, literally that’s what that means

If his base is shrinking, party affiliations would be going the inverse way.

That’s not accurate.

His approval would be falling.

Again, no evidence to support that

A rising approval means there's something wrong with your hypothesis.

No, it really doesn’t

It just means you don’t understand what approval rating is measuring

Well it clearly does, more people approve. And damn approval ratings are good predictors of wins

Approval of Trump, simply put.

Lmao

a. Approval ratings are not indicative of wins right now

They've been for ages?

b. His approval rating is super low