Message from @sɪᴅɪsɴᴏᴛʜᴇʀᴇ
Discord ID: 679685379397648385
Nearly 2/3rds
This is what people said in 2010 about Obama.
That is catastrophic for trump
Not really, combined with the people who *didn't* vote.
That's a good sign.
2012 also conformed to the generic ballot
That means a full 1/3rd of people who voted for trump in 2016 but voted for a dem in 2018 are definitely voting against him in 2020
Not exactly
That is not a good sign for trump- it’s a sign of...
Many of those haven't made their mind up.
HIS BASE SHRINKING
No, literally that’s what that means
If his base is shrinking, party affiliations would be going the inverse way.
That’s not accurate.
His approval would be falling.
Again, no evidence to support that
A rising approval means there's something wrong with your hypothesis.
No, it really doesn’t
It just means you don’t understand what approval rating is measuring
Well it clearly does, more people approve. And damn approval ratings are good predictors of wins
Lmao
a. Approval ratings are not indicative of wins right now
They've been for ages?
b. His approval rating is super low
Not till about March
>49%
>Super low
...yes
I'm pretty sure all he needs is 45% to win.
44% is a more accurate number
on 538 that's 46% lol
How is "44%" an accurate number?
Aaaand no president has won with under 50%
Yes, we'll see that go above soon.
It's trending upwards, I mean have you seen 538 recently?
<#542037236053442561>
538 has him at 44
46%*
You're not using registered or likely voters.
and an dis-approval of 50%