Message from @sɪᴅɪsɴᴏᴛʜᴇʀᴇ

Discord ID: 679684484538695690


2020-02-19 13:41:21 UTC  

He’s lost them

2020-02-19 13:41:35 UTC  

He has the same amount of support from indep's as he did in January

2020-02-19 13:41:36 UTC  

2017

2020-02-19 13:41:38 UTC  

That is a big problem for him

2020-02-19 13:41:51 UTC  

Just inaccurate statement

2020-02-19 13:41:58 UTC  

> 2017 Jan 20-29 89 42 13

2020-02-19 13:42:04 UTC  

Sigh approval ratings are not electoral performance

2020-02-19 13:42:08 UTC  

2020 Jan 16-29 94 42 7

2020-02-19 13:42:13 UTC  

It’s like talking to a child

2020-02-19 13:42:13 UTC  

42 and 42

2020-02-19 13:42:16 UTC  

Read 538

2020-02-19 13:42:23 UTC  

Learn how to read a poll

2020-02-19 13:42:29 UTC  

Learn how these questions are asked

2020-02-19 13:42:45 UTC  

Ok let me go over this again, 42% of independents approve of Trump. This was the same in January 2017.

2020-02-19 13:42:54 UTC  

Where is this "lost" support.

2020-02-19 13:42:55 UTC  

Approval is not electoral performance

2020-02-19 13:43:12 UTC  

<:political_thinking:583244726040264704>

2020-02-19 13:43:13 UTC  

The lost support is the landslides against trump in 2017, 2018, 2019

2020-02-19 13:43:26 UTC  

All of which conformed to the generic ballot

2020-02-19 13:43:29 UTC  

But the approval ratings suggest otherwise.

2020-02-19 13:43:32 UTC  

Which is currently dem +6

2020-02-19 13:43:41 UTC  

This is about Trump, not his party.

2020-02-19 13:43:52 UTC  

I’m talking about actual votes, not approval ratings

2020-02-19 13:44:01 UTC  

The actual votes were back in 2016

2020-02-19 13:44:08 UTC  

Anything between then is not a representative.

2020-02-19 13:44:22 UTC  

Mhm, the 3 years after 2016 are more recent than 2016 honey

2020-02-19 13:44:25 UTC  

Of course they are

2020-02-19 13:44:29 UTC  

Because we get this

2020-02-19 13:44:30 UTC  

> "Nearly two-thirds of the Trump voters who said they voted for Democratic congressional candidates in 2018 say that they’ll back the president against all three named opponents."
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/11/04/upshot/one-year-from-election-trump-trails-biden-but-leads-warren-in-battlegrounds.html

2020-02-19 13:44:32 UTC  

Trump was very much “on the ballot”

2020-02-19 13:44:37 UTC  

...yes

2020-02-19 13:44:38 UTC  

No, he wasn't.

2020-02-19 13:44:42 UTC  

His party was.

2020-02-19 13:44:44 UTC  

Let’s walk through that statement

2020-02-19 13:44:51 UTC  

Nearly 2/3rds

2020-02-19 13:44:52 UTC  

This is what people said in 2010 about Obama.

2020-02-19 13:44:56 UTC  

That is catastrophic for trump

2020-02-19 13:45:07 UTC  

Not really, combined with the people who *didn't* vote.

2020-02-19 13:45:10 UTC  

That's a good sign.

2020-02-19 13:45:10 UTC  

2012 also conformed to the generic ballot