Message from @GavinTheViking
Discord ID: 481583471651848203
This has been controlled by Democrats since 1976.
And people thought OH-12 was something
Well I mean I would think that of course the DePizzo campaign has an active interest in saying it's competitive
If you can say it is and you live near it, by all means, campaign for the guy, but I'm not so sure
<@&414474557420994564> https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1031380871755034624
This is the exact same result as 2016
Is that for NH-1 or NH-2
It said the same for whole state to be a blue shift but it was a ton of red victories minus US House and Senate
Republicans ad a full controll after 2016 for innerstate
Whole state
https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000165-550f-d0d5-af75-f5fff0e60001
Tipirneni now trailing Lesko by 9 in her own internal
if this is accurate (probably isn't) it shows that the GOP is improving since April
incumbency advantage makes all the difference
Hello
My House 2018 Prediction based solely off out Cook PVI ratings and predictions by 6 different outlets (see House 2018 Election Wikipedia page: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections,_2018#Election_ratings)
Dark Color = Party Safe
Medium Color = Party Hold
Light Color = Party Gain
Gray = Toss-Up/Conflicting Predictions (ex. - if Cook PVI says R but the predictions say Tilt/Lean/Likely D, then Tossup)
Hopefully we get that map
So the prediction above gives almost a dozen seat cushion before losing the majority at 217 seats.
I'm looking at the Sabato ratings. Sorry, but they're just retarded.
Thank the lord for the Red Storm Crystal Ball, am I right?
RED STORM CRYSTAL BALL RATINGS CHANGES:
Wisconsin-03: Likely Democrat to Safe Democrat
California-50: Likely Republican to Lean Republican
Arizona-02: Likely Democrat to Safe Democrat
Kansas-03: Likely Republican to Safe Republican
Nebraska-02: Lean Republican to Likely Republican
New York-18: Likely Democrat to Safe Democrat
Florida-07: Likely Democrat to Safe Democrat
Florida-13: Likely Democrat to Safe Democrat
@Pielover19 We just had a poll come out showing that the Democrat in FL-7 is only 1 point ahead, within the margin of error.
It's highly unlikely that it's a safe Democrat district.
just a few months ago I thought it would be safe for Stephanie Murphy
@Nuke This map is horribly biased. Just looking at my District, it went for Clinton, is rated a Toss-up already, 2 out of 3 polls have Porter ahead, 1 poll puts Walter ahead by 1. No party preference voters in my district prefer D to R by a 2:1 ratio, Walters has a 43% unfavorable rating and a 38% favorable rating, and according to Global Strategy Group found that "a clear majority of voters prefer a Democrat who will be a check on Trump (55%) rather than a Republican who will help Trump pass his agenda (40%)." Furthermore, Democrats have a turnout advantage as the watchdog Party.