Message from @Deleted User
Discord ID: 440646623882772480
it's not just Democratic enthusiasm
for instance, the swing in Alabama was so large because of Moore's scandal
the one in PA-18 was because Lamb was specifically targetting the demographics based on issues they found important, same for AZ-08
Lamb and Tipirneni were the more hard working candidates
there is no guarantee that the Democrat running in OH-12 will be the same
What were the circumstances that caused whatever incumbent to resign?
Because PA-18 and AZ-08 were both scandal based
OH-12, the incumbent resigned to do this business thing
not a scandal
some people might want you to believe that the shifts have SOLELY been due to Democratic enthusiasm and Drumpf being 'bad'
Alright so we can probably pull it off
State Sen. Troy Balderson (R) and businesswoman Melanie Leneghan (R) have received the most political and financial support in the field of 10 Republican candidates. Defending Main Street spent $240,000 on a cable and digital ad buy to support Balderson in April 2018, while Leneghan rounded up endorsements from the House Freedom Caucus and Reps. Mark Meadows (R-N.C.) and Jim Jordan (R-N.C.).
Among the seven Democratic candidates, Franklin County Recorder Danny O'Connor (D) has been backed by party leaders in the state, including Reps. Joyce Beatty (D-Ohio) and Tim Ryan (D-Ohio).
so the Democratic candidate is likely Danny O'Connor
hmm
"The 31-year-old Shelby County native has a bachelor's degree in political science from Wright State University and a law degree from Syracuse University. If elected, O'Connor would be younger than any currently serving member of Congress."
unless he has some severe flaws, not a good sign
^male R candidate
^female R candidate
"Trivia about the Ohio 12th district: according to Ballotpedia (https://ballotpedia.org/Ohi... the college graduation rate in this district is 37 %, the highest college graduation rate of all 16 Ohio congressional districts by a good margin. For another comparison, the college graduation rate in the Arizona 6th district (yesterday's special election) is 28 %. Why am I posting this - dunno, can't imagine how college graduation rate has anything to do with special elections :-)"
I wonder what effect this will have
Pretty big
Millenials are major part of the Obama Coalition
Also Bernie's supporters were disportionately White Male Millenials (Bernie Bros)
But according to this poll the majority of them now support the GOP
Rightwing Populist in Europe parties tend to have a lot of young supporters
I don't see why this couldn't also become the case in the US with the GOP becoming more Populist
Oh my god
I just saw this too.
@RoastedAdawg it won't matter, it's just one poll.
They'll get the voters back, if not they'll be replaced by immigrant voters
Voter Registration in WV
@🎃Boo-ton🎃 WV was always a democratic state because of coal miners and industrial workers
It's a Trump state, not a Republican state
It's changed recently of course, but that's the truth.
>Trump state, not a Republican state
One of the few places where this combination is true
@🎃Boo-ton🎃 same with Pennsylvania