I wish on saw this the morning of the election lmao

But yes, we are always extremely close in elections

Even in '08 when McCain nearly lost fucking Montana and lost Indiana, Florida only went to Obama by like 2 points

On election day, during a discussion about our predictions, one of my friends was saying he had a weird feeling about Pennsylvania. The next day he was pretty proud of himself lol

Wisconsin came out of nowhere

And Michigan

That was beautiful

It was

Michigan was more expected

The sun shined really bright on my way to school the next morning. (Kinda gay but true)

Wisconsin always was blue in polling, even in RCP which had New Mexico as grayish

So when it went for Trump, my God man

Jesus

https://realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/pa/pennsylvania_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5964.html

https://realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/mi/michigan_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-6008.html

https://realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/wi/wisconsin_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5976.html

Link order: Penn., Michigan, Wisconsin

Those are the polls of the 2016 election

Probably thought the Obama effect would carry over

https://realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nc/north_carolina_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson-5951.html

North Carolina

Master List:

https://realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/president/#!

But yeah I think they thought the amount of women that would vote Clinton would mirror the amount of blacks that voted Obama

But the shift was relatively minimal

It's really interesting seeing the shift of swing states, where some states become more safe R/D and others drift into swing territory.

Political polarization

@FLanon I'm actually working on a video rn about 2016 Election Voter Demographics, where I'll break down who voted for who, turnout rates, and so on.

We're never going to see a 1964, 1972, or 1984 ever again.

Black turnout dropped significantly.

Hey, you never know. You say that, but people seriously thought Trump winning would not happen either.

I don't see it happening

It's just political polarization

People are going to go pretty hard on party line now

There'd have to be a 3rd party that would split one of the party's vote, allowing the other main party to win the plurality. Aka Ross Perot situation

Yeah, that's the only way I see it happening

Ideologically, there's not going to be a Reagan Democrats situation again.

The difference is nearly diametric at this point

I was a Trump fan but I didn't see Trump winning to be honest, I was really surprised when he won

Me neither

I thought this nation could never elect a man like him again