Message from @GavinTheViking
Discord ID: 458645359489449994
No president wins or loses here by more than 5 points
>blue NC
>blue AZ
>blue OH
>blue MI
>blue WI
>blue PA
Lol
fucking political cartoonists
I wish on saw this the morning of the election lmao
But yes, we are always extremely close in elections
Even in '08 when McCain nearly lost fucking Montana and lost Indiana, Florida only went to Obama by like 2 points
On election day, during a discussion about our predictions, one of my friends was saying he had a weird feeling about Pennsylvania. The next day he was pretty proud of himself lol
Wisconsin came out of nowhere
And Michigan
That was beautiful
It was
Michigan was more expected
The sun shined really bright on my way to school the next morning. (Kinda gay but true)
Wisconsin always was blue in polling, even in RCP which had New Mexico as grayish
So when it went for Trump, my God man
Jesus
Those are the polls of the 2016 election
Probably thought the Obama effect would carry over
North Carolina
Master List:
But yeah I think they thought the amount of women that would vote Clinton would mirror the amount of blacks that voted Obama
But the shift was relatively minimal
It's really interesting seeing the shift of swing states, where some states become more safe R/D and others drift into swing territory.
Political polarization
@FLanon I'm actually working on a video rn about 2016 Election Voter Demographics, where I'll break down who voted for who, turnout rates, and so on.
We're never going to see a 1964, 1972, or 1984 ever again.
Black turnout dropped significantly.
Hey, you never know. You say that, but people seriously thought Trump winning would not happen either.
I don't see it happening
It's just political polarization
People are going to go pretty hard on party line now
There'd have to be a 3rd party that would split one of the party's vote, allowing the other main party to win the plurality. Aka Ross Perot situation
Yeah, that's the only way I see it happening
Ideologically, there's not going to be a Reagan Democrats situation again.