Yeah so he is a long term incumbent and dems in Miami could carry the vote for him

Is there any way he could loose

Other than a Roy Moore situation

Yeah it could happen, has a good chance

The governor is rich and pretty popular

Plus Trump's approvals are pretty high in Florida relative to the rest of the country

Yeah we're the 50/50 state pretty much

No president wins or loses here by more than 5 points

>blue NC
>blue AZ
>blue OH
>blue MI
>blue WI
>blue PA

Lol

fucking political cartoonists

I wish on saw this the morning of the election lmao

But yes, we are always extremely close in elections

Even in '08 when McCain nearly lost fucking Montana and lost Indiana, Florida only went to Obama by like 2 points

On election day, during a discussion about our predictions, one of my friends was saying he had a weird feeling about Pennsylvania. The next day he was pretty proud of himself lol

Wisconsin came out of nowhere

And Michigan

That was beautiful

It was

Michigan was more expected

The sun shined really bright on my way to school the next morning. (Kinda gay but true)

Wisconsin always was blue in polling, even in RCP which had New Mexico as grayish

So when it went for Trump, my God man

Jesus

https://realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/pa/pennsylvania_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5964.html

https://realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/mi/michigan_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-6008.html

https://realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/wi/wisconsin_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5976.html

Link order: Penn., Michigan, Wisconsin

Those are the polls of the 2016 election

Probably thought the Obama effect would carry over

https://realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nc/north_carolina_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson-5951.html

North Carolina

Master List:

https://realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/president/#!

But yeah I think they thought the amount of women that would vote Clinton would mirror the amount of blacks that voted Obama

But the shift was relatively minimal

It's really interesting seeing the shift of swing states, where some states become more safe R/D and others drift into swing territory.

Political polarization

@FLanon I'm actually working on a video rn about 2016 Election Voter Demographics, where I'll break down who voted for who, turnout rates, and so on.

We're never going to see a 1964, 1972, or 1984 ever again.

Black turnout dropped significantly.