Message from @Sophie
Discord ID: 679685579989843978
That is not a good sign for trump- it’s a sign of...
Many of those haven't made their mind up.
HIS BASE SHRINKING
No, literally that’s what that means
If his base is shrinking, party affiliations would be going the inverse way.
That’s not accurate.
His approval would be falling.
Again, no evidence to support that
A rising approval means there's something wrong with your hypothesis.
No, it really doesn’t
It just means you don’t understand what approval rating is measuring
Well it clearly does, more people approve. And damn approval ratings are good predictors of wins
Approval of Trump, simply put.
Lmao
a. Approval ratings are not indicative of wins right now
They've been for ages?
b. His approval rating is super low
Not till about March
>49%
>Super low
I'm pretty sure all he needs is 45% to win.
44% is a more accurate number
on 538 that's 46% lol
How is "44%" an accurate number?
Aaaand no president has won with under 50%
Yes, we'll see that go above soon.
It's trending upwards, I mean have you seen 538 recently?
<#542037236053442561>
538 has him at 44
46%*
You're not using registered or likely voters.
and an dis-approval of 50%
You’re mixing metrics dude
Jesus Christ
Not really, I like using this since it's closer to the true value.
Then you have to do an apples to apples comparison
What was Obama’s approval
I just did lol
I'll check
No, you’re comparing a LV model to a general approval rating