Message from @sɪᴅɪsɴᴏᴛʜᴇʀᴇ

Discord ID: 679685905228759055


2020-02-19 13:46:56 UTC  

Well it clearly does, more people approve. And damn approval ratings are good predictors of wins

2020-02-19 13:47:02 UTC  

Approval of Trump, simply put.

2020-02-19 13:47:09 UTC  

Lmao

2020-02-19 13:47:25 UTC  

a. Approval ratings are not indicative of wins right now

2020-02-19 13:47:34 UTC  

They've been for ages?

2020-02-19 13:47:37 UTC  

b. His approval rating is super low

2020-02-19 13:47:41 UTC  

Not till about March

2020-02-19 13:47:43 UTC  

>49%

2020-02-19 13:47:45 UTC  

>Super low

2020-02-19 13:47:50 UTC  

...yes

2020-02-19 13:47:56 UTC  

I'm pretty sure all he needs is 45% to win.

2020-02-19 13:48:02 UTC  

44% is a more accurate number

2020-02-19 13:48:03 UTC  

on 538 that's 46% lol

2020-02-19 13:48:09 UTC  

How is "44%" an accurate number?

2020-02-19 13:48:15 UTC  

Aaaand no president has won with under 50%

2020-02-19 13:48:22 UTC  

Yes, we'll see that go above soon.

2020-02-19 13:48:34 UTC  

It's trending upwards, I mean have you seen 538 recently?

2020-02-19 13:48:37 UTC  

<#542037236053442561>

2020-02-19 13:48:50 UTC  

538 has him at 44

2020-02-19 13:49:02 UTC  

46%*

2020-02-19 13:49:07 UTC  

You're not using registered or likely voters.

2020-02-19 13:49:16 UTC  

and an dis-approval of 50%

2020-02-19 13:49:33 UTC  

You’re mixing metrics dude

2020-02-19 13:49:36 UTC  

Jesus Christ

2020-02-19 13:49:45 UTC  

Not really, I like using this since it's closer to the true value.

2020-02-19 13:49:55 UTC  

Then you have to do an apples to apples comparison

2020-02-19 13:50:00 UTC  

What was Obama’s approval

2020-02-19 13:50:03 UTC  

I just did lol

2020-02-19 13:50:09 UTC  

I'll check

2020-02-19 13:51:01 UTC  

No, you’re comparing a LV model to a general approval rating

2020-02-19 13:51:09 UTC  

Alright some of us have jobs

2020-02-19 13:51:29 UTC  

Learn to read a poll, then check Gallup’s pollster rating

2020-02-19 13:51:33 UTC  

I will return later

2020-02-19 13:51:47 UTC  

On gallup, it was 46%, while Trump has 49%.
According to RCP 46%, RCP has Trump at 45.7%

2020-02-19 13:52:00 UTC  

> No, you’re comparing a LV model to a general approval rating
Because... it's more precise.

2020-02-19 14:25:34 UTC  

Why do you think the GOP lets him do whatever he wants? They want to cram as many pyscho judges and terrible legislation as they can before their boomer extinction.

2020-02-19 15:41:48 UTC  

@sɪᴅɪsɴᴏᴛʜᴇʀᴇ uuuh it’s not a matter of “precision” it’s a matter of apples to apples

2020-02-19 15:41:48 UTC  

GG @Sophie, you just advanced to level 11!

2020-02-19 15:55:00 UTC  

Yeah Dems will have to pack the court

2020-02-19 15:55:06 UTC  

Just to make it fair again