Message from @Pendell

Discord ID: 513077920860995586


2018-11-16 15:01:57 UTC  

CA or WA?

2018-11-16 15:21:12 UTC  
2018-11-16 15:53:44 UTC  

Yes, that is what I predicted.

2018-11-16 17:55:54 UTC  

(Will their Ballot ever be submitted? Tune in next time on USA Today)

2018-11-16 18:01:31 UTC  

Wasn't the Broward County election already declared illegal?

2018-11-16 19:00:01 UTC  

I think it was

2018-11-16 19:22:26 UTC  

I don't know where to bring this, but I was in a godawful Twitter "debate" yesterday with someone who insisted the majority of Americans are for stricter gun control, and then proved it by citing a poll
where they got responses from 1,000 people.
I did the math myself and that came out to approximately .0003% of the U.S. population.
I tried to tell them that's a horrible sample size if you want to represent the views of the entire nation, but then they spent several tweets after that insisting I just don't understand how representative sampling works and I was engaging in the personal incredulity fallacy.
But I feel like I wasn't too far off. I mean, come on.

2018-11-16 19:24:34 UTC  

I felt like it fit in here because I feel like they were using statistics in the same way fake news would.

2018-11-16 19:30:58 UTC  

@Pendell not to mention that, if this twitter user regularly espouses viewpoints of a particular political tribe, then their followers likely belong to that same political tribe which could skew the results of the poll

2018-11-16 19:31:14 UTC  

or at least a majority of their followers

2018-11-16 19:36:37 UTC  

No, it was another poll, like a random call poll done by Gallup

2018-11-16 19:36:46 UTC  

So there wasn't likely a bias to the organization or results but still

2018-11-16 19:38:27 UTC  

oh that kind of poll. I thought it was one of those built-in twitter polls

2018-11-16 19:39:00 UTC  

Nah

2018-11-16 19:41:05 UTC  

It still isn't a very good sample size I think

2018-11-16 19:43:14 UTC  

I'd say you're right. You can see from election data the ways in which people with similar political opinions typically live near each other. It depends on how the poll was done, whether it was a small or large geographical area. If it was 1,000 people from the same city block in, say, NYC then they may all likely share similar opinions and points of view

2018-11-16 19:44:24 UTC  

To be fair to the poller it was done across all 50 states

2018-11-16 19:47:37 UTC  

*but* it was also done only right after widely reported on shootings

2018-11-16 19:48:10 UTC  

do you know if the poll was conducted online?

2018-11-16 19:48:13 UTC  

It specifically says the poll was done just a few weeks after the Florida shooting

2018-11-16 19:48:28 UTC  

Let me find it brb

2018-11-16 20:32:13 UTC  

Typical. Bad weather and people blame their politicians for their inability to drive and watch the weather

2018-11-16 20:48:42 UTC  

Politicians get blamed because they didn't properly manage the infrastructure they're in charge of

2018-11-16 20:57:48 UTC  

except they did

2018-11-16 20:58:01 UTC  

the predictions where wrong

2018-11-16 20:58:33 UTC  

and then people go out, think its a sunny day, spin out and clog the roads

2018-11-16 21:05:15 UTC  

Like when they blamed Trump for the hurricane stuff

2018-11-16 23:08:42 UTC  

Trump was given the power to control weather by his Jewish overlords, duh.

2018-11-17 00:45:39 UTC  

To be fair

2018-11-17 00:45:42 UTC  

it is New York City

2018-11-17 00:45:55 UTC  

there is no excuse for a city in the North East to not be prepared for snow

2018-11-17 01:15:07 UTC  

That is true.

2018-11-17 01:15:25 UTC  

And we don't give the power to control weather to just anyone.

2018-11-17 01:23:50 UTC  

https://youtu.be/D-PudCOrROI The very first joke is very relevant to this discussion.

2018-11-17 01:33:31 UTC  

Assuming the theories of climate change are correct, we'll see a lot more hard winters in the NE US and NW Europe

2018-11-17 01:55:23 UTC  

Assuming that theories of climate change were correct all artic ice should have disappeared in 2012

2018-11-17 02:03:37 UTC  

Assuming that the theories of Climate change were correct we should have all frozen in 1970

2018-11-17 03:16:32 UTC  

Arctic ice is disappearing

2018-11-17 03:17:24 UTC  

Good, I didn't like it. Always gave me the cold shoulder.