https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/swing-voters-and-elastic-states/

It might be worth to build up a base in Rhode Island over the next few elections

Man If we would have been able to hold Virginia we would have an Electoral College Lock with the Rust Belt now Purple

@Sacramento another way of looking at this data is to subtract the 2.1% that Cunt Face won the Popular Vote by.

So like Nevada votes .32% More Democrat then the rest of the country. And New Hampshire votes about 1.7% more Republican then the rest of the country etc..

I feel bad for the Republicans living in California. There state is turning into the third world and there is literally nothing they can do.

If Trump gets 50% of the Popular Vote in 2020 New Hampshire and Minnesota will flip. And Maine and Nevada will be extremely close.

@Red Storm (in NYC) Great Summary. For Pennsylvania do you think that you should mention something about Scranton Area? The Dems can't hold the state without winning that area by large numbers.

I think that is why Barletta has a good chance at winning the Senate

NPR said Tester will keep his seat because no real GOP candidate has entered the race

I swear to God no one ever responds to any of my comments on here

Did you know Columbia has a very extreme Right Wing Movement? They killed 100s of thousands of Leftist Communists in the 40s-60s. I just found that out and thought it was interesting.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/La_Violencia

There is a lot of talk about Latin Americans being more Socialist oriented but in my experience that is a misconception. In my Job I can the country manager for the USA and 10 people on my group represent various Latin American Nations. In my experience they will not do anything to challenge authority. There is a belief there that they do what they are told

Both. The Leftist became more and more Communist as the Violence intensified. Apparently the Columbian people feared the Leftist because of a "Judeo-Masonic Conspiracy Theory" to bring Communism to the nation

You know I was thinking about pushing the notion that the Amish were voting illegally in Pa and Ohio to help push the need to pass Photo IF

Photo ID

I think it's natural to blame secret Cabals when the nation stops working for the majority of people

They said on NPR that a record number of Democrats are running in Alabama

It doesn't mean they are true

Amish don't have drivers liscense or SSN

If they can register illegals can

But isn't that because that Marost poll that appears to be an utlier? It has Trump's Approval numbers below most other polls as well

WaPo is also saying that the Cook Political Ratings for the House have shifted towards the Dems favor. But I don't know how. There are currently 16 GOP house seats rated tossup or worse to 4 Dem Seats. So even if some miracle happened and they picked up all those while we got 0 they would still be 8 seats short from the house.

Outlier. I mean I have no clue why I spelled it that way

I think the 2 competitive Nevada races are likely to flip as well. Those are places that will benefit a lot from the tax cuts. People who fled California for Taxes

A big problem with flipping Washington is that unlike places like Pennsylvania and Ohio the rural areas don't overwhelmingly vote Republican. It's more like 50-60%. It needs to be between 70-75% like the Midwest

I think that the problem for a lot of people is his rhetoric. People like his policies

I think if The Dem Senators in Montana, West Virginia, North Dakota and Missouri vote against this they will lose their seat. The state simply has too many rural voters to not get behind thus

I highly recommend everyone here read Trende's book "The Lost Majority".

I read this Guy's book "The Lost Majority" and it's very eye opening I highly recommend.

https://thefederalist.com/2018/02/08/sean-trende-explains-election-analysis-demographics-midterms/

He doesn't see a Blue Wave. In Virginia the Democrats only won the districts that Hillary won

When I door knocked only like 5% of the houses came to the door. They all assumed I was a Jahova Witness or Salesman

I don't think though that Whites would vote this Republican if the country wasn't so diverse.

I mean with the exception of California the more diverse states tend to be where Whites vote the most overwhelmingly Republican

I think North Dakota could easily flip as well. With all the great things Trump is doing for the fossil fuel industry

Cramer will win for sure

Has anyone heard who West Virginia's candidate will be?

Have you thought about conta

I remember they were saying the same thing on r/politics during 2016. They said the Cubans wouldn't vote for Trump because of solidarity with Mexicans

That is what I told them! I got in a big argument with them. I said all they have in common is the same language. It would be like an Americans standing in solidarity with Jamaicans because both nations speak English.

Reddit fags don't get that

Leftist lack critical thinking skills

They see "Hispanic" and think free Democrat Vote

I think that having the Governor of Puerto Rico touring Florida talking about replacement migration and how it will turn Florida Blue will help us

It's crazy how openly they talk about replacing the electorate nowadays

So is Florida crawling with them now?

@FLanon I have noticed that people are starting to realize that Trump will probably be reelected. Like even in those comments they were saying how "his antics play well for tv." So they should "Focus on the broadly disliked Ryan and McConnel".

A few months ago they would be saying how everyone hates Trump and the election had to be made about him

That Trende guy says it's all about the economy. Like Democrats wo the Popular Vote by 2% in 2016 which is exactly what the models for that economic growth in 2016 would predict

Yeah and if we don't lose the house or senate in 2018 we will be fine for 2020 and 2022

People notice the difference economically. Like they see all the jobs and the stock market booming

And like my house value is going up

I really think you listen to that interview with that Trende guy I posted the other day. It's really eye opening.

Why should have did a tax bill in 2008 when the economy was collapsing instead of the Stimulus

@Red Storm (in NYC) Evin if they didn't commit fraud to win it's good for us. It means they have to win the Popular Vote by about 3% to win the EC.

Jesus Christ!!!

Supposedly this is the Congress Maps that Pa Democrats want what was leaked. It's being circulated online. I'm not sure if it's real or not.

K

This is very good news!

What are going to be the effect of having most of the Republicans funded by the RNC and the Democrats funded individually?

@Red Storm (in NYC) What I mean is Republicans are donating to the RNC and Democrats are donating directly to Candidates. I wonder what the effects will be? I assume a lot of duplicate effort for the Dems. And a lot of money going to candidates that will either easily win or have no chance

A lot of money to will be spent during primaries against other Dems trying to get the nominee to take on the Republican in the general

I think the damage will occur if they push the other candidate too far left to pick up Normies during the General. I think Democrats will vote for against the Great Satan (Republicans) no matter what. It will also force them to burn through money

Dems burn through money I mean

@Ghost there are a lot of Congress districts that will be very close this year in New Jersey. You should find out your district

I wonder if my mom would like Trump if she was still alive. She hated him as a celebrity but so did I

I think she would because he cares about normal people. I couldn't stand him as a celebrity but I really like him as President

@snickers one of the big drawbacks of having the Government spending stimulate the economy is that the government wastes more so it's not as effective.

Stimulating the economy

Like everything it does is usually more expensive then the private sector. Money is also sent to thing with very low return on investment

Like when Obama gave tens of billions of dollars to that Solaris (Spelling?) company and it was all embezzled or waisted then shut down a year or so later

@Snickers you have a very interesting theory. I never heard it before. There may be something to it

What about inflation though? Since the government is just printing money doesn't this result in $ being worth less?

So I guess the media and the Dems talking about Gun Control right now is really good for us. What are your thoughts?

@Pielover19 I really think North Dakota will flip now with that Congressman likely to enter the race

@FLanon It's Popular in Liberal Shit holes

@Snickers Ueah everyone wants free shit wether they are a Regression or not. The problem is that you can't get there without making society in general poorer. That is why Liberals are all retarded

Oh fuck off! I didn't say infrastructure and Medicaid would make society poorer

Because everyone else has to Pay for your free shit! I already paid for my degree so why should I have to pay for yours? Why don't you fix the reason why college is so expensive? Seriously why the fuck are you even here.

They aren't going to do Concealed Carry Recipocity until we go a few months without a shooting. Politically it would be suicidal right now. Like I own an AR15 and Love guns and even I would consider passing this the week of a shooting to be in very poor taste

So does Manchin have any real hope of holding on to his seat? I don't see how. I work with a lot of people from West Virginia and Trump is crazy Popular there. If Trump campaigns for the GOP nominee I don't think he will have a chance

Is that comment true on there? The one that says Republicans are outspending Lamb 15 to 1?

Apparently https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.washingtonpost.com/amphtml/powerpost/gop-allied-groups-heavily-outspend-democrats-in-special-pennsylvania-election/2018/02/05/4ed46e94-0a8b-11e8-8890-372e2047c935_story.html

Why would it be a good thing?

We need to flood Connor Lambs Page demanding why all these White People only support Gun Control when White People are killed. Make him take a stand on Black Lives Matter

I started it. I will continue doing it but right now it's only me

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 I want to go and spy on them. I bet the attendees all smell of shit

Please. Like a White Guy is landing that job

Can you imagine hating yourself so bad that you would work for the Democrats as a White Male?

I just read that article. Too bad he is on the Dark Side

Does anyone have the Cook Party Senate ratings for 2016?

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 I can see Asians coming back to the GOP at some point. I don't buy the whole "Collective Asian Culture". They would be perfect Republicans. Especially Koreans and Japanese.

I especially with the number of Evangelical Koreans. I think over time as they begin to feel more "Mainstream American".

Also Asians are clustered in NYC, California, Philadelphia etc. please that are very heavy Democrat. That could effect their Democrat lean.

Like Asians down south may not nearly be as Democrat then the National Average because of that

I also don't see a lot of Subversive Asians for being so Democrat

What about Sieks (Spelling?)