Message from @Den
Discord ID: 414793349011079168
whereas Dem candidates' oppurtunities will be isolated to their own donations, assuming they are at the recieving end
A lot of money to will be spent during primaries against other Dems trying to get the nominee to take on the Republican in the general
@Den Yeah, apparently there are so many Democrats running this year that many of them damage their party's chances by attacking each other in the primaries
leeeet's not jump to conclusions...
many won't win the primaries
yeah, but the primary survivors can be damaged by their opponents attacks against them
I think the damage will occur if they push the other candidate too far left to pick up Normies during the General. I think Democrats will vote for against the Great Satan (Republicans) no matter what. It will also force them to burn through money
Dems burn through money I mean
Democrats will generally vote for the D candidate no matter what, even if they are too progressive or too moderate, in order to spite Drumpf
however, independents are another story
The last couple polls on the generic ballot bode very well, you have R+1 w/ the morning consult poll (up 5 pts from their previous poll) and D+4 on the latest YouGov poll (up 2 pts from their previous poll)
Which yougov poll?
latest one
My one qualm with your recommendations, @🎃Boo-ton🎃
Is that consumer confidence etc. are amazing right now.
If there's any economic issue, it's the stock market, but that's only because of the correction.
It's really the fault of Congress.
As the stock market skyrocketed expecting great 2017 legislation, repealing Obamacare etc.
But the Republicans did not pass such legislation.
@Den I think those can be looked up on Ballotpedia
This is the closest thing I could find
https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_Senate_elections,_2016
They rated the Wisconsin race as "slightly D" when the R won
They rated Ohio a toss-up when Portman won by 20 points
Wow
new data: where Trump's base is concentrated by state
@Red Storm (in NYC)
battleground states where Trump's base (WWC) is most prominent (percent of population):
1.) West Virginia (65.8%)
2.) Montana (58.0%)
3.) North Dakota (57.2%)
4.) Missouri (53.5%)
5.) Ohio (52.2%)
Ohio is based
Ohio is the largest of al those
Trump's base
Are those pluses and minuses in comparison to Romney in 2012
it's the margin of how Trump performed among these groups in 2016
the percentage represents the total amount of these groups among voters, right?
so whites are 71% of voters, then?
correct
if whites continue to have this high of turnout, then that has to count for something, right?
if Whites turnout like they did in 2016, we could win every election for at least a decade
well, we've got to make that happen, then