There is nobody else who could form a government

The Lib Dems and Labour will agree

And Jo Swinson has said that she wouldn't put Corbyn into no 10

Corbyn will step aside for it

Corbyn is a Brexiteer at heart

He ain't

He won't do it

He is only staying on the fence because his part is Remain

He's been advocating for it for 20 years

I don't care what he's been advocating for - he's a party animal

Nearly every Socialist and Communist party in the country supports leaving

Whatever waffle you want to put forward, we won't be leaving the EU on 31st of October

This is actually the one thing that the radical right and the radical left agree on

He won't step aside, he wants power too much

What happens between now and the general election will be the estalbishment throwing everything + the kitchen sink to sink Boris + the Tories

I still stand by my earlier prediction that we will get a No Deal

Not a hope

The only options are no deal and remain and remain is intolerable

GE is called, Conservatives get a majority, Repeal the Bill, Leave without a deal

Done

The english will not tolerate it

FUck sake

the working class you mean

Conservatives won't go for a no deal

Not openly

And there's no guarantee Conservatives will get a majority

They will in private

It's a minority view in the Conservative parliamentary party, lizard

It's the most likely scenario by far

THe Conservatives are -not- the Brexit party

Even if an election is called boris decides when parliament reconvenes

That's not strictly true, Andy

Boris will have a reason to force it

it'll be either majority Tories or Brexit party

Given that he has being saving Brexit on the 31st no matter what for a while

Brexit party will have half a dozen seats tops

Tory majority or coalition with BP

i'm happy with either

The best predictions for the BXP are giving them 50

That's what all the polling says

Where?

Bullshit

Most are giving them 1 or 2

You can't just go "BXP are polling x, therefore y seats"

the MEP elections had the Brexit party smash every other party

The polling is suggesting a coalition

The very generous polling is saying that they will get around 20% nationally which will translate into around 50 seats

MEP elections are largely proportional representation, jdosser

ik

that depends on how the vote is spread

20% doesn't translate to 50 seats

Roughly

It can

Not even roughly

Their support is also concentrated into the north

It's not

20% is more like 1 seat

You're in for a rude awakening

Tories, in the absence of a pact with BXP, are well short of a majority

https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/homepage.html

well sorry for being optimistic for the future for the first time in 6 fucking years

Blind optomism isn't healthy

Boris is still most people's first choice for PM

The current prediction by the Electoral Calculus is a Conservative majority of 14

With the BXP at 0

14, lol

that's sounding more reasonable

but that's within the margin of error, you realise

i'd take boris over someone like Corbyn

Most rational people would, jdosser

Yes but it is likely

42% isn't "likely"

Most polling is predicting a Conservative Majority

i know people in my own family who would have it the other way @Eccles

The only real question is how big the majority is

14 isn't big enough, really

It could just be enough to repeal that bill blocking a No Deal

And it would be much better then his current situation

nope

of around -40 in Parliament

the tories haven't purged all their wets

14 wouldn't be enough

Most of the vocal ones

he would get more if he entered into a pact with Farage/went for no deal

The others voted with the Government on the bill

They could do it again

of course, we got a act that states that 2/3's of parliament has to consent to being dissolved.
And that isn't going to happen anytime soon

Corbyn has promised to support one after Oct 31st

Fixed term parliament act needs to eithe rgo, or be modified

I imagine it sounded better at the time but it has pretty much caused a political impasse

if there is no confidence then there will be a caretaker PM

Corbyn wants to be that caretaker PM

That would be a dark day for Britain

it needs to be modified to remove the 2/3 majority requirement if the sitting government does not have a majority

and he will do lots of damage in the 14 days

it will be ken clarke or harmen

almost as bad as Corbyn

He could use the whip if his majority is narrow

it would then keep the intention of preventing governments abusing election timing for partisan gain, while preventing an opposition using it to prevent an election when the government is non-funcitoning due to a minority position

He has a majority of like -40