Message from @Andyman119

Discord ID: 626179041891844106


2019-09-24 22:10:12 UTC  

Done

2019-09-24 22:10:13 UTC  

The english will not tolerate it

2019-09-24 22:10:28 UTC  

FUck sake

2019-09-24 22:10:32 UTC  

the working class you mean

2019-09-24 22:10:36 UTC  

Conservatives won't go for a no deal

2019-09-24 22:10:43 UTC  

Not openly

2019-09-24 22:10:45 UTC  

And there's no guarantee Conservatives will get a majority

2019-09-24 22:10:48 UTC  

They will in private

2019-09-24 22:10:57 UTC  

It's a minority view in the Conservative parliamentary party, lizard

2019-09-24 22:11:02 UTC  

It's the most likely scenario by far

2019-09-24 22:11:06 UTC  

THe Conservatives are -not- the Brexit party

2019-09-24 22:11:07 UTC  

Even if an election is called boris decides when parliament reconvenes

2019-09-24 22:11:19 UTC  

That's not strictly true, Andy

2019-09-24 22:11:20 UTC  

Boris will have a reason to force it

2019-09-24 22:11:25 UTC  

it'll be either majority Tories or Brexit party

2019-09-24 22:11:36 UTC  

Given that he has being saving Brexit on the 31st no matter what for a while

2019-09-24 22:11:37 UTC  

Brexit party will have half a dozen seats tops

2019-09-24 22:11:44 UTC  

Tory majority or coalition with BP

2019-09-24 22:11:56 UTC  

i'm happy with either

2019-09-24 22:11:56 UTC  

The best predictions for the BXP are giving them 50

2019-09-24 22:11:57 UTC  

That's what all the polling says

2019-09-24 22:12:01 UTC  

Where?

2019-09-24 22:12:05 UTC  

Bullshit

2019-09-24 22:12:18 UTC  

Most are giving them 1 or 2

2019-09-24 22:12:24 UTC  

You can't just go "BXP are polling x, therefore y seats"

2019-09-24 22:12:45 UTC  

the MEP elections had the Brexit party smash every other party

2019-09-24 22:12:45 UTC  

The polling is suggesting a coalition

2019-09-24 22:12:48 UTC  

The very generous polling is saying that they will get around 20% nationally which will translate into around 50 seats

2019-09-24 22:13:01 UTC  

MEP elections are largely proportional representation, jdosser

2019-09-24 22:13:05 UTC  

ik

2019-09-24 22:13:07 UTC  

that depends on how the vote is spread

2019-09-24 22:13:08 UTC  

20% doesn't translate to 50 seats

2019-09-24 22:13:16 UTC  

Roughly

2019-09-24 22:13:17 UTC  

It can

2019-09-24 22:13:19 UTC  

Not even roughly

2019-09-24 22:13:23 UTC  

Their support is also concentrated into the north

2019-09-24 22:13:28 UTC  

It's not

2019-09-24 22:13:32 UTC  

20% is more like 1 seat

2019-09-24 22:14:02 UTC  

You're in for a rude awakening

2019-09-24 22:14:26 UTC  

Tories, in the absence of a pact with BXP, are well short of a majority