That's not strictly true, Andy

Boris will have a reason to force it

it'll be either majority Tories or Brexit party

Given that he has being saving Brexit on the 31st no matter what for a while

Brexit party will have half a dozen seats tops

Tory majority or coalition with BP

i'm happy with either

The best predictions for the BXP are giving them 50

That's what all the polling says

Where?

Bullshit

Most are giving them 1 or 2

You can't just go "BXP are polling x, therefore y seats"

the MEP elections had the Brexit party smash every other party

The polling is suggesting a coalition

The very generous polling is saying that they will get around 20% nationally which will translate into around 50 seats

MEP elections are largely proportional representation, jdosser

ik

that depends on how the vote is spread

20% doesn't translate to 50 seats

Roughly

It can

Not even roughly

Their support is also concentrated into the north

It's not

20% is more like 1 seat

You're in for a rude awakening

Tories, in the absence of a pact with BXP, are well short of a majority

https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/homepage.html

well sorry for being optimistic for the future for the first time in 6 fucking years

Blind optomism isn't healthy

Boris is still most people's first choice for PM

The current prediction by the Electoral Calculus is a Conservative majority of 14

With the BXP at 0

14, lol

that's sounding more reasonable

but that's within the margin of error, you realise

i'd take boris over someone like Corbyn

Most rational people would, jdosser

Yes but it is likely

42% isn't "likely"