20% doesn't translate to 50 seats

Roughly

It can

Not even roughly

Their support is also concentrated into the north

It's not

20% is more like 1 seat

You're in for a rude awakening

Tories, in the absence of a pact with BXP, are well short of a majority

https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/homepage.html

well sorry for being optimistic for the future for the first time in 6 fucking years

Blind optomism isn't healthy

Boris is still most people's first choice for PM

The current prediction by the Electoral Calculus is a Conservative majority of 14

With the BXP at 0

14, lol

that's sounding more reasonable

but that's within the margin of error, you realise

i'd take boris over someone like Corbyn

Most rational people would, jdosser

Yes but it is likely

42% isn't "likely"

Most polling is predicting a Conservative Majority

i know people in my own family who would have it the other way @Eccles

The only real question is how big the majority is

14 isn't big enough, really

It could just be enough to repeal that bill blocking a No Deal

And it would be much better then his current situation

nope

of around -40 in Parliament

the tories haven't purged all their wets

14 wouldn't be enough

Most of the vocal ones

he would get more if he entered into a pact with Farage/went for no deal

The others voted with the Government on the bill

They could do it again

of course, we got a act that states that 2/3's of parliament has to consent to being dissolved.
And that isn't going to happen anytime soon

Corbyn has promised to support one after Oct 31st

Fixed term parliament act needs to eithe rgo, or be modified

I imagine it sounded better at the time but it has pretty much caused a political impasse

if there is no confidence then there will be a caretaker PM