Don't we have a good guy running in Minnesota?

Jeff Johnson iirc

Yeah. but he's losing in the polls, in part due to the fact that several popular Republicans have endorsed his primary challenger.

Tim Pawlenty

Invincible in a Minnesota GOP primary

Damn

Pawlenty is losing the polls atm but I think that Johnson supporters will switch over once Pawlenty wins the primary.

Another issue for me is that I don't see Scott Walker and Tammy Baldwin winning on the same ballot.

SD is strong red

the natives don't turn out to the polls too hot

hard to get to the polls without a car

letone without alcohol in their case

well

actually

you can legally vote drunk

Don't you guys have a democratic senator or is that North Dakota?

north dakota

^^^

http://www.270towin.com/2018-governor-election/Pnwr

My current prediction for the November gubernatorial elections

It'll take some time to get used to these new colors.

Yeah, they're a little weird.

Imagine my shock when I saw gray Nevada on IE's map.

That looks really gross color wise

I pretty much agree.

I like the old tossup color better

I like the tilt feature

What?

Tossup leaves too much uncertainty

That's how elections work though

They're basically never certain.

You're right but I like it.

Some professional predictions already use tilt anyway.

So this is a necessary feature IMO

The real issue is that it's not on anything but the gubernatorial races.

So now we have

Tossup, tilt, lean, likely, and safe?

yes

Not guna lie

kinda gay.

What's gay is not having tilt for Senate, House, or 2020 POTUS

^this

http://www.270towin.com/2018-governor-election/DaV5

Alright, gonna reform my ratings now.

@Pielover19 What's your justification for Arizona being likely GOP?

Since the RCP avg. is only +3 to Ducey.

And his approval ratings are abysmal.

tilt imo

@[Lex] The far-left is leading in Arizona Democratic primary polls atm.

Farley?

@Nuke Why is MN tilting Republican.

Yeah, the rcp average has Farley vs. Ducey.

Nope. Farley is losing the primary.

And I'm pretty sure every poll I've seen for WI has Walker losing by near double digits.

Nonetheless, Ducey has a history of reliably outperforming pre-election polling.

David Garcia is winning in the primary polls by a consistent margin of over 20 points.

I see.

Then I understand the rating if it is correct.

He's currently winning in the general election polls, but the majority of them have been internal polls by his own campaign.

So the Tennessee primary elections are tomorrow also.

The one other poll, by Gravis, otherwise had Garcia winning, but with a margin of error three times larger than his lead, and 17% undecided.

TN is an open primary also, so don't be too disheartened if the Democrats' turnout appears energised.

Did you ping me for Nuke'

s map?

Oh, sorry. I must've pinged the wrong person.

Could I see the RS gubernatorial map?

Oh.

The cucked version: The consensus led by CNN and Inside Elections (Rothenberg) is actually "Likely GOP," with a minority "Lean GOP."
The real version: I just don't think Ducey will lose.

RED STORM CRYSTAL BALL RATINGS CHANGES

Oregon: Likely Democrat to Lean Democrat

Colorado: Lean Democrat to Tilt Democrat

Michigan: Lean Democrat to Tilt Democrat

Iowa: Lean Republican to Tilt Republican

Just make a map!

Cam

Can't.

The tilt features won't pull up for me.

Oh

Try the Inside Elections prediction as a base

or just go to the right

and hit + as many times as you can

This is how it looks for me.

and if I hit + then - then +

@Pielover19

Gubernatorial races right ?

not Senatorial ?

Yup.

What app is this?

Yeah.

Not working for me, Nuke.

What app is this?

@Rhodesiaboo not an app

it's 270towin.com

ATTENTION EVERYONE

THIS SERVER HAS BEEN SEIZED BY THE FBI

AN AGENT HAS BEEN APPOINTED TO OVERSEE THE INVESTIGATION

WE EXPECT YOU TO COOPERATE

https://twitter.com/BustyEmpress

THIS IS ELLA

IM RIGHT HERE

Hi RIGHT HERE, I'm Dad!