Message from @[Lex]
Discord ID: 474409619389939712
kinda gay.
What's gay is not having tilt for Senate, House, or 2020 POTUS
^this
Alright, gonna reform my ratings now.
@Pielover19 What's your justification for Arizona being likely GOP?
Since the RCP avg. is only +3 to Ducey.
And his approval ratings are abysmal.
tilt imo
@[Lex] The far-left is leading in Arizona Democratic primary polls atm.
Farley?
@Nuke Why is MN tilting Republican.
Yeah, the rcp average has Farley vs. Ducey.
Nope. Farley is losing the primary.
And I'm pretty sure every poll I've seen for WI has Walker losing by near double digits.
Nonetheless, Ducey has a history of reliably outperforming pre-election polling.
David Garcia is winning in the primary polls by a consistent margin of over 20 points.
I see.
Then I understand the rating if it is correct.
He's currently winning in the general election polls, but the majority of them have been internal polls by his own campaign.
The one other poll, by Gravis, otherwise had Garcia winning, but with a margin of error three times larger than his lead, and 17% undecided.
TN is an open primary also, so don't be too disheartened if the Democrats' turnout appears energised.
Did you ping me for Nuke'
s map?
Oh, sorry. I must've pinged the wrong person.
Could I see the RS gubernatorial map?
Oh.
The cucked version: The consensus led by CNN and Inside Elections (Rothenberg) is actually "Likely GOP," with a minority "Lean GOP."
The real version: I just don't think Ducey will lose.
RED STORM CRYSTAL BALL RATINGS CHANGES
Oregon: Likely Democrat to Lean Democrat
Colorado: Lean Democrat to Tilt Democrat
Michigan: Lean Democrat to Tilt Democrat
Iowa: Lean Republican to Tilt Republican
Just make a map!
Cam
Can't.
The tilt features won't pull up for me.
Oh
Try the Inside Elections prediction as a base
or just go to the right