Message from @[Lex]

Discord ID: 474408102775488513


2018-08-01 21:31:44 UTC  

I like the tilt feature

2018-08-01 21:31:53 UTC  

What?

2018-08-01 21:31:58 UTC  

Tossup leaves too much uncertainty

2018-08-01 21:33:06 UTC  

That's how elections work though

2018-08-01 21:33:14 UTC  

They're basically never certain.

2018-08-01 21:34:09 UTC  

You're right but I like it.

2018-08-01 21:34:26 UTC  

Some professional predictions already use tilt anyway.

2018-08-01 21:34:32 UTC  

So this is a necessary feature IMO

2018-08-01 21:34:46 UTC  

The real issue is that it's not on anything but the gubernatorial races.

2018-08-01 21:34:59 UTC  

So now we have

2018-08-01 21:35:13 UTC  

Tossup, tilt, lean, likely, and safe?

2018-08-01 21:35:23 UTC  

yes

2018-08-01 21:35:27 UTC  

Not guna lie

2018-08-01 21:35:32 UTC  

kinda gay.

2018-08-01 21:42:43 UTC  

What's gay is not having tilt for Senate, House, or 2020 POTUS

2018-08-01 21:46:45 UTC  

^this

2018-08-02 02:38:30 UTC  

Alright, gonna reform my ratings now.

2018-08-02 02:47:50 UTC  

@Pielover19 What's your justification for Arizona being likely GOP?

2018-08-02 02:48:16 UTC  

Since the RCP avg. is only +3 to Ducey.

2018-08-02 02:48:25 UTC  

And his approval ratings are abysmal.

2018-08-02 02:48:40 UTC  

tilt imo

2018-08-02 02:51:07 UTC  

@[Lex] The far-left is leading in Arizona Democratic primary polls atm.

2018-08-02 02:51:15 UTC  

Farley?

2018-08-02 02:51:33 UTC  

@Nuke Why is MN tilting Republican.

2018-08-02 02:51:38 UTC  

Yeah, the rcp average has Farley vs. Ducey.

2018-08-02 02:51:58 UTC  

Nope. Farley is losing the primary.

2018-08-02 02:52:02 UTC  

And I'm pretty sure every poll I've seen for WI has Walker losing by near double digits.

2018-08-02 02:52:12 UTC  

Nonetheless, Ducey has a history of reliably outperforming pre-election polling.

2018-08-02 02:52:37 UTC  

David Garcia is winning in the primary polls by a consistent margin of over 20 points.

2018-08-02 02:52:55 UTC  

I see.

2018-08-02 02:53:06 UTC  

Then I understand the rating if it is correct.

2018-08-02 02:53:15 UTC  

He's currently winning in the general election polls, but the majority of them have been internal polls by his own campaign.

2018-08-02 02:54:27 UTC  

So the Tennessee primary elections are tomorrow also.

2018-08-02 02:54:43 UTC  

The one other poll, by Gravis, otherwise had Garcia winning, but with a margin of error three times larger than his lead, and 17% undecided.

2018-08-02 02:55:25 UTC  

TN is an open primary also, so don't be too disheartened if the Democrats' turnout appears energised.

2018-08-02 03:01:36 UTC  

Did you ping me for Nuke'

2018-08-02 03:01:38 UTC  

s map?

2018-08-02 03:07:57 UTC  

Oh, sorry. I must've pinged the wrong person.

2018-08-02 03:08:06 UTC  

Could I see the RS gubernatorial map?

2018-08-02 03:29:10 UTC  

Oh.