Message from @[Lex]

Discord ID: 474409864236498954


2018-08-01 21:46:45 UTC  

^this

2018-08-02 02:38:30 UTC  

Alright, gonna reform my ratings now.

2018-08-02 02:47:50 UTC  

@Pielover19 What's your justification for Arizona being likely GOP?

2018-08-02 02:48:16 UTC  

Since the RCP avg. is only +3 to Ducey.

2018-08-02 02:48:25 UTC  

And his approval ratings are abysmal.

2018-08-02 02:48:40 UTC  

tilt imo

2018-08-02 02:51:07 UTC  

@[Lex] The far-left is leading in Arizona Democratic primary polls atm.

2018-08-02 02:51:15 UTC  

Farley?

2018-08-02 02:51:33 UTC  

@Nuke Why is MN tilting Republican.

2018-08-02 02:51:38 UTC  

Yeah, the rcp average has Farley vs. Ducey.

2018-08-02 02:51:58 UTC  

Nope. Farley is losing the primary.

2018-08-02 02:52:02 UTC  

And I'm pretty sure every poll I've seen for WI has Walker losing by near double digits.

2018-08-02 02:52:12 UTC  

Nonetheless, Ducey has a history of reliably outperforming pre-election polling.

2018-08-02 02:52:37 UTC  

David Garcia is winning in the primary polls by a consistent margin of over 20 points.

2018-08-02 02:52:55 UTC  

I see.

2018-08-02 02:53:06 UTC  

Then I understand the rating if it is correct.

2018-08-02 02:53:15 UTC  

He's currently winning in the general election polls, but the majority of them have been internal polls by his own campaign.

2018-08-02 02:54:27 UTC  

So the Tennessee primary elections are tomorrow also.

2018-08-02 02:54:43 UTC  

The one other poll, by Gravis, otherwise had Garcia winning, but with a margin of error three times larger than his lead, and 17% undecided.

2018-08-02 02:55:25 UTC  

TN is an open primary also, so don't be too disheartened if the Democrats' turnout appears energised.

2018-08-02 03:01:36 UTC  

Did you ping me for Nuke'

2018-08-02 03:01:38 UTC  

s map?

2018-08-02 03:07:57 UTC  

Oh, sorry. I must've pinged the wrong person.

2018-08-02 03:08:06 UTC  

Could I see the RS gubernatorial map?

2018-08-02 03:29:10 UTC  

Oh.

2018-08-02 03:30:09 UTC  

The cucked version: The consensus led by CNN and Inside Elections (Rothenberg) is actually "Likely GOP," with a minority "Lean GOP."
The real version: I just don't think Ducey will lose.

2018-08-04 03:41:28 UTC  

RED STORM CRYSTAL BALL RATINGS CHANGES

2018-08-04 03:41:39 UTC  

Oregon: Likely Democrat to Lean Democrat

2018-08-04 03:41:55 UTC  

Colorado: Lean Democrat to Tilt Democrat

2018-08-04 03:42:30 UTC  

Michigan: Lean Democrat to Tilt Democrat

2018-08-04 03:44:45 UTC  

Iowa: Lean Republican to Tilt Republican

2018-08-04 03:48:07 UTC  

Just make a map!

2018-08-04 03:48:45 UTC  

Cam

2018-08-04 03:48:50 UTC  

Can't.

2018-08-04 03:48:58 UTC  

The tilt features won't pull up for me.

2018-08-04 03:50:08 UTC  

Oh

2018-08-04 03:50:18 UTC  

Try the Inside Elections prediction as a base

2018-08-04 03:50:23 UTC  

or just go to the right

2018-08-04 03:50:28 UTC  

and hit + as many times as you can

2018-08-04 03:50:57 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/445296215161176064/475148615476576266/unknown.png