midterms-discussions
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I would think so
apparently it's a high turnout race
>#NeverDrumpfublicans from 2016 voting for Democrats
Imagine my shock.
OH12 is going to be a wild ride boys strap in
The issue with Utica is that it is in two counties.
>tfw having a hard time finding a pic of Joe Heck with an "I'm with her." sign on my hard drive
Why are you sharing all of these tweets?
tbh, Button did a good job of picking that name
So when's the election tonight
@GermanEastAfrica why not
it's pertinent
Theyโre political
@Deleted User did karen vote for our Connor because we've lost our souls
Lmao
@Taylor that is apparently what she said, yeah
Even though she literally recognises the economy doing better
Her name is Karen, do you expect anything intelligent?
True
Hard to tell what'll happen until the real results come in
lol I wonder what the details are behind this
Fucking based
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-45096519
He was correct though they, do look like mailboxes
I hope to god we do well today
@Rhodesiaboo OH-12 isn't your district, right
Need a Republican win to keep the butt hurt going and the astroturf off.
@Deleted User Correct But I need Liberal Butthurt
God willing, Theresa May steps down and Boris can be selected as PM.
Or rees-mogg
<@&462745116768075776>
RED STORM ALERT
RED STORM ALERT
Tuesday, November 6, 2018 is...
***90 Days Away!***
Be sure to prepare to get every right-leaning acquaintance, friend, and family member out to the polls! This includes any right-leaning Internet friends/acquaintances of voting age who may live in other parts of the USA...
lol what, it was also 90 days away yesterday
@RDE I think it got adjusted
"he liked O'Connor's willingness to work with Republicans"
How stupid are these people?
Another thing is the Ryan Casey example goes to show that there is a consequence for overdoing campaign phone calls, if you spend too many resources on that and advertizing, it can backfire spectacularly.
>muh bipartisan
most hilarious reason I've ever heard
I remember it was huge in 2008.
Obama was supposedly leading like a bipartisan political party lol.
Missouri-bro here. A heads up on what to watch for in tonight's primaries:
1) Prop A (Vote Yes = Underdog Win for Republicans, Vote No = Expected Union/Democrat Win).
2) US Senate Republican Primary (Josh Hawley is expected to win handily, but Austin Petersen will be a strong 2nd place. Don't doubt his ground game/volunteer power versus Hawley's weak primary campaign so far.)
3) US House District 1 - Democrat Primary (Longtime incumbent Lacy Clay is facing a serious opponent, Cori Bush. Incumbent is expected to win, but watch out for a possible and unlikely upset.)
Ty
hmm
Hahhaha
Weather is on our side
Thank you God
@GavinTheViking Was betting $3.40 on Prop A Yes a mistake?
Probably, but you may win big, never know.
We might not win big but I think we will win
God's on our side with the weather news definitely
Any thoughts on this? If this is really reliable info, what can Trump do to even the playing field with social media platforms?
https://twitter.com/ali/status/1026900384026173440
Can't win more than like $7 but thanks ha
Pray the Rain away
everyone join us in <#417896427713200138>
@everyone join us in <#417896427713200138>
It hit the liberals first
So they got it harder
+ I believe liberals are more likely to be deterred by rainfall than conservatives.
that's a bad reason
""I'm trying to give Trump the benefit of the doubt, and so I'm trying to be as supportive as I can, because things have turned around," Terry said."
kek
<:GWsetmyxPeepoPinged:405337566787928065>
At a watch party tonight boys, pray for good results out of Missouri.
Will do
@GavinTheViking awesome
tfw gonna get the wall built
yep
Who's winning?
R has slight lead in ohio
not the best sign, similar to AZ-08
Pat Tiberi got 251,266 votes in 2016
Ed Albertson (D) got 112,638 votes in 2016
in comparison, Troy Balderson got 100,052 votes so far and Danny O'Connor got 98,364
demonstrably - the Democrats are getting close to Presidential turnout, while the GOP is getting less than half that
<@&462745116768075776>
The incumbency adv. will thankfully be huge in a district like this.
what we do know - the potential exists to defeat the Democrats by much more if the GOP manages to get turnout higher
Esp. considering Tiberi was a moderate business Republican whose beliefs strongly differ with those of OH-12.
https://twitter.com/joemanchik?lang=en
>This account's Tweets are protected.
Republicans keep 12th district in Ohio!
Why did I just get dunced?
Are you sure about that @Jebber22 (IN-08) ?
Yes
They called it
Look at any election results @jpc1976
Still think Monmouth is biased?
Yes
@๐Boo-ton๐ Monmouth could still be biased and get things close due to luck
LOLOL
kek
It still wouldnโt matter
It would be closer, but it still wouldnโt matter if the green votes were taken out
hell ya
^^^This reply lol
Wouldnโt Voter ID hurt them because it would mean they would no longer get Illegal Votes?
Yes its a troll
Good
If provisional/absentee votes are counted, it may push it down to an extent where they can plausibly claim the Greens cost them the victory.
but unlikely
but to an extent whereby they can win the election?
ALmost certainly not.
Why are you certain about that?
There's only a gap of 1,754 votes
absentee ballots from the military are likely to be majority GOP
oh ok
Because PV/absentee ballots tend to be around 1% of the total vote, rarely above, often below.
and you'd need near 100% of those ballots to be Democratic for them to win at this point
which is impracticably high
@Deleted User We said that about PA-18, but the absentee ballots won it for Lamb.
So it's not definite.
Spooky.
Also, Red Storm's analysis is starting to look very familiar. In the Alabama special election, the Dems actually had *fewer* votes than they did in their previous election. However, the Republicans were missing *half* of theirs, and so got beaten by the Dems.
Moral of the story, volunteer, knock doors, phonebank.
These damned results are taking their time to come out in the gubernatorial election in Kansas.
Yay we won
I was worried for Ohio
https://itunes.apple.com/au/app/wiz-khalifas-weed-farm/id1207493846?mt=8 - so Alex Jones' show is removed from the store but I just viewed an ad for this on my phone the other day.
F R E E
M A R K E T
Marsh Vs Alabama
The tech companies are literally violating the constitution
We have a Republican majority in the Supreme Court
The time to challenge them is now
63% in for Johnson County, Kobach still ahead 540 votes.
Good sign.
This election will be decided by about 100 votes either way.
Very close?
Yep
One of the closest I've ever seen.
Still not decided
Yep
On average, the remaining precincts only have around 2-4 voters each.
@Deleted User if you're paying attention to the results, ping me when more results come out
That was a close race
<@&462745116768075776> i think we can all thank Trump for pushing it over the edge
KOBACH WINS!
By 190 votes.
@[Lex] Great news
Yep
Happy about that
I can sleep in peace
Morning guys
@Rhodesiaboo good morning
So how does everybody feel about last night?
decent, the swings seem to be the same as many of the other special elections though. Republicans still have a turnout problem that they need to correct by November 6
OH NO
solidly red district. Thankfully the special election for this one won't be before November 6
I know how to divide the state now
divide what state? New York?
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2018_generic_congressional_vote-6185.html#polls
Democrats down slightly in the GCB
<@&462745116768075776>
RED STORM ALERT
RED STORM ALERT
Tuesday, November 6, 2018 is...
***89 Days Away!***
Be sure to prepare to get every right-leaning acquaintance, friend, and family member out to the polls! This includes any right-leaning Internet friends/acquaintances of voting age who may live in other parts of the USA...
oh just shut up
LOL
So all of those Candidates Ocasio-Cortez supported failed to win?
Just call her Ocasio Despacito
Not a single one of her endorsed candidates won
I think the same goes for Bernie as well
That Muslim guy running for Governor in Michigan lost
Itโs possibly not good for us though, we prefer to be running against far lefts
^
The centrists do turn away the progressive Millennials
Kobach won, Hail Victory!
But it was actually a victory for the left because they barely lost <:brainletwojak:422441696899629057> <:brainletwojak:422441696899629057> <:brainletwojak:422441696899629057> <:brainletwojak:422441696899629057> <:brainletwojak:422441696899629057> <:brainletwojak:422441696899629057> <:brainletwojak:422441696899629057> <:brainletwojak:422441696899629057> <:brainletwojak:422441696899629057> <:brainletwojak:422441696899629057>
He did?
Oh Thank God, yes! By how much? @ThatRightWingFish
I would have to check
Last night he was up by like 500 with 91% reporting
The Left: We win even if we lose
โIf you kill your enemies they winโ
Rhodesia is biased
I love how the left is saying that Russia hacked the Ohio election. Literally "if we dont win the Russians made us lose"
They sound like a literal bunch of children
@RDE @๐Boo-ton๐
as I like to tell @FLanon , in some areas we're better off running against Hillarycrats than Berniecrats
the idea that Berniecrats will do worse than Hillarycrats in every place in the country is erroneous
If the Muslim won the Kansas governor dem nomination, Kobach will win guaranteed in Nov
You can't deny it would've been better, RedStorm
there was a Muslim running for KS governor?
wow
I thought it was just Michigan
I do think a populistic/progressive with a socially conservative and religious personality can win in Kansas
advocate a Bernie-esque platform while not being an agnostic jew from brooklyn
there wasn't a Muslim running for KS Governor
there was a high school kid though
@๐Boo-ton๐ for that mistake regarding the KS primary you're going in the clinck, calicuck
>yfw Democrats are just +3 in the GCB in the recent YouGov/Economist poll
@zakattack04 I know what you're going to say
Well being up by 3 in the polls is fine
As long as trump manages to successfully mobilize the base
@Deleted User I just want to win PA :(
I know you guys like to mock the left for the "win even when we lose"
But keep in mind, if the shift that happened last night carries over to the midterms
We lose the house.
Just keep that in mind
if
Too be fair, it's an open seat
Open seats will see greater shifts than seats with incumbents
I take that into account with my forecast
@๐Boo-ton๐ there are already 21 + republicans retiring and we have a 22 seat majoirty.
So there's more open seats than we have in the majoirty.
Is Kobach /ourguy/?
*dust bunny rolls by*
Where is everyone?
here
Yay
Kobach is 100% ourguy
He was the original architect of Trump's immigration platform back in the campaign
91 votes saved the guy
Jeeeeez
That's close enough to trigger an automatic recount
Nah, Kansas law states if a recount is to be conducted, it must be on the candidate's dime who seeks a recount.
Ah
I bet he will want a recount tho
I wouldnt blame him for it
Yep
She doesnโt deserve to be in prison
right that description of the case doesn't look biased whatsoever, it's clearly an objective analysis of the facts
Another thing, she's not even in fucking prison anymore, her conviction was overturned
Why was it overturned
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