Message from @Kevin

Discord ID: 476674235092303874


2018-08-08 03:44:18 UTC  

ALmost certainly not.

2018-08-08 03:44:29 UTC  

Why are you certain about that?

2018-08-08 03:47:53 UTC  

There's only a gap of 1,754 votes

2018-08-08 03:48:13 UTC  

absentee ballots from the military are likely to be majority GOP

2018-08-08 03:48:23 UTC  

oh ok

2018-08-08 04:08:47 UTC  

Because PV/absentee ballots tend to be around 1% of the total vote, rarely above, often below.

2018-08-08 04:09:10 UTC  

and you'd need near 100% of those ballots to be Democratic for them to win at this point

2018-08-08 04:09:32 UTC  

which is impracticably high

2018-08-08 05:08:13 UTC  

@Deleted User We said that about PA-18, but the absentee ballots won it for Lamb.

2018-08-08 05:08:29 UTC  

So it's not definite.

2018-08-08 07:38:36 UTC  

Spooky.

2018-08-08 07:40:55 UTC  

Also, Red Storm's analysis is starting to look very familiar. In the Alabama special election, the Dems actually had *fewer* votes than they did in their previous election. However, the Republicans were missing *half* of theirs, and so got beaten by the Dems.

2018-08-08 07:53:04 UTC  

Moral of the story, volunteer, knock doors, phonebank.

2018-08-08 08:26:04 UTC  

These damned results are taking their time to come out in the gubernatorial election in Kansas.

2018-08-08 08:36:03 UTC  

Yay we won

2018-08-08 08:36:08 UTC  

I was worried for Ohio

2018-08-08 08:49:34 UTC  

https://itunes.apple.com/au/app/wiz-khalifas-weed-farm/id1207493846?mt=8 - so Alex Jones' show is removed from the store but I just viewed an ad for this on my phone the other day.

2018-08-08 08:49:38 UTC  

F R E E

2018-08-08 08:49:40 UTC  

M A R K E T

2018-08-08 08:53:07 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/476674206931746817/image-38.jpg

2018-08-08 08:53:13 UTC  

Marsh Vs Alabama

2018-08-08 08:53:26 UTC  

The tech companies are literally violating the constitution

2018-08-08 08:53:35 UTC  

We have a Republican majority in the Supreme Court

2018-08-08 08:53:48 UTC  

The time to challenge them is now

2018-08-08 09:14:41 UTC  

63% in for Johnson County, Kobach still ahead 540 votes.

2018-08-08 09:14:42 UTC  

Good sign.

2018-08-08 09:14:48 UTC  
2018-08-08 10:41:43 UTC  

This election will be decided by about 100 votes either way.

2018-08-08 10:41:55 UTC  

Very close?

2018-08-08 10:43:06 UTC  

Yep

2018-08-08 10:45:14 UTC  

One of the closest I've ever seen.

2018-08-08 11:15:45 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/476710104184520715/Screenshot_2018-08-08-07-15-18.png

2018-08-08 11:15:50 UTC  

Still not decided

2018-08-08 11:18:06 UTC  

Yep

2018-08-08 11:18:57 UTC  

On average, the remaining precincts only have around 2-4 voters each.

2018-08-08 11:24:00 UTC  

@Deleted User if you're paying attention to the results, ping me when more results come out

2018-08-08 11:42:00 UTC  

That was a close race

2018-08-08 11:44:07 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/476717241870712845/Screenshot_2018-08-08-07-43-54.png

2018-08-08 11:44:22 UTC  

<@&462745116768075776> i think we can all thank Trump for pushing it over the edge