Message from @Rhodesiaboo
Discord ID: 476591440156164126
not the best sign, similar to AZ-08
Pat Tiberi got 251,266 votes in 2016
Ed Albertson (D) got 112,638 votes in 2016
in comparison, Troy Balderson got 100,052 votes so far and Danny O'Connor got 98,364
demonstrably - the Democrats are getting close to Presidential turnout, while the GOP is getting less than half that
<@&462745116768075776>
The incumbency adv. will thankfully be huge in a district like this.
what we do know - the potential exists to defeat the Democrats by much more if the GOP manages to get turnout higher
Esp. considering Tiberi was a moderate business Republican whose beliefs strongly differ with those of OH-12.
https://twitter.com/joemanchik?lang=en
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Republicans keep 12th district in Ohio!
Why did I just get dunced?
Are you sure about that @Jebber22 (IN-08) ?
Yes
They called it
Look at any election results @jpc1976
Still think Monmouth is biased?
Yes
@🎃Boo-ton🎃 Monmouth could still be biased and get things close due to luck
LOLOL
kek
It still wouldn’t matter
hell ya
^^^This reply lol
Wouldn’t Voter ID hurt them because it would mean they would no longer get Illegal Votes?
Yes its a troll
Good
If provisional/absentee votes are counted, it may push it down to an extent where they can plausibly claim the Greens cost them the victory.
but unlikely
but to an extent whereby they can win the election?
ALmost certainly not.
Why are you certain about that?
There's only a gap of 1,754 votes
absentee ballots from the military are likely to be majority GOP
oh ok
Because PV/absentee ballots tend to be around 1% of the total vote, rarely above, often below.
and you'd need near 100% of those ballots to be Democratic for them to win at this point
which is impracticably high
@Deleted User We said that about PA-18, but the absentee ballots won it for Lamb.
So it's not definite.
Spooky.