I think how well the Tories do will depend to a certain extent on what happens between now and then

If they extend they will have the have a pact with TPB by the polls

Tbp and cons should just merge, make Fromage the deputy pm

For a majority, they need a net gain of what... 44? Don't see it

"But muhhopinionpolls!"

They need to gain MPs they first lost

Since the rebels will be replaced for one

It's not as if that 44 all belong to other parties

So yeah I see it

If you think those indies will be voted back in you might be mistaken

Some of those indies are going to split the vote

But that's only 21 anyway

You are also putting all your eggs on the two parties that seem to hate each others guts and not agree on anything suddenly going kumbaya

The likely hood is they will just split each other's vote

They will to an extent

Just as Lib Dems will split the Tory vote

As BP will split both the Tory and Labour vote

Essentially going maximum pessimism

Mapping out the possible and probable outcomes isn't "maximum pessism"

I think he's right and they'll form a coalition

Any more than assuming everything will go fine and as you would want is "maximum optomism"

They are that hungry to rule

Yup

Tories fail to get an overall majority means the end of brexit, you should at least agree with that

Well yes

You could very well see it turn into coalition vs coalition

Well no

They still have DUP

in the back pocket

DUP are going to lose seats at the next election

Which is an easy 9 more seats

This was a high watermark for them

They are predicted to lose 1

There are talks of election pacts in NI which would see them lose 5 assuming no other movement

Plus a TPB pact if required

Best case is tbp & tory coalition, that might be enough to keep the fascists out

Tories have already ruled out a BP pact

Brexit Party will be unlikely to win any seats

If there is an extention you'd see that revised, plus you're the one predicting pacts with no backing up of that prediction

Yeah it's power is in swinging seats

I'm allowed to aswell