Message from @Eccles

Discord ID: 631476531817873411


2019-10-09 12:53:55 UTC  

Who are showing the biggest majority

2019-10-09 12:54:00 UTC  

Who predicted brexit victory

2019-10-09 12:54:16 UTC  

There's practically no difference between LibDems and Labour across most policy - they'll negotiate some common ground with economic policy and a coalition will be formed

2019-10-09 12:54:38 UTC  

I think they would go into coalition, they're desperate for power, you can see it in jo swinson, she's terrifying

2019-10-09 12:54:39 UTC  

No they won't. Why do you think they keep refusing Corbyn as interim PM?

2019-10-09 12:54:54 UTC  

Because they are leveraging the situation to get a better deal, Bot

2019-10-09 12:55:14 UTC  

Again lots of conjecture

2019-10-09 12:55:20 UTC  

Everything we have points to the opposite

2019-10-09 12:55:26 UTC  

You're gonna have to have more than that

2019-10-09 12:55:45 UTC  

Hmm. If LibDems were able to get PM from labour, I could see that, I guess.

2019-10-09 12:55:56 UTC  

Again, the majorities are predicted Without needing DUP

2019-10-09 12:56:02 UTC  

Or a TBP pact

2019-10-09 12:56:20 UTC  

But then labour would have to give up the PM seat, and that will be a hard sell.

2019-10-09 12:56:50 UTC  

No way libdems are going into a govt with Corbyn as PM though

2019-10-09 12:57:32 UTC  

They will

2019-10-09 12:57:59 UTC  

Interesting theory, however everything we have heard shows the opposite

2019-10-09 12:58:00 UTC  

I think how well the Tories do will depend to a certain extent on what happens between now and then

2019-10-09 12:58:24 UTC  

If they extend they will have the have a pact with TPB by the polls

2019-10-09 12:59:34 UTC  

Tbp and cons should just merge, make Fromage the deputy pm

2019-10-09 13:00:46 UTC  

For a majority, they need a net gain of what... 44? Don't see it

2019-10-09 13:02:17 UTC  

"But muhhopinionpolls!"

2019-10-09 13:03:39 UTC  

They need to gain MPs they first lost

2019-10-09 13:03:47 UTC  

Since the rebels will be replaced for one

2019-10-09 13:04:05 UTC  

It's not as if that 44 all belong to other parties

2019-10-09 13:04:13 UTC  

So yeah I see it

2019-10-09 13:04:44 UTC  

If you think those indies will be voted back in you might be mistaken

2019-10-09 13:06:04 UTC  

Some of those indies are going to split the vote

2019-10-09 13:06:13 UTC  

But that's only 21 anyway

2019-10-09 13:07:12 UTC  

You are also putting all your eggs on the two parties that seem to hate each others guts and not agree on anything suddenly going kumbaya

2019-10-09 13:07:26 UTC  

The likely hood is they will just split each other's vote

2019-10-09 13:07:42 UTC  

They will to an extent

2019-10-09 13:07:50 UTC  

Just as Lib Dems will split the Tory vote

2019-10-09 13:08:01 UTC  

As BP will split both the Tory and Labour vote

2019-10-09 13:08:11 UTC  

Essentially going maximum pessimism

2019-10-09 13:10:20 UTC  

Mapping out the possible and probable outcomes isn't "maximum pessism"

2019-10-09 13:10:25 UTC  

I think he's right and they'll form a coalition

2019-10-09 13:10:37 UTC  

Any more than assuming everything will go fine and as you would want is "maximum optomism"

2019-10-09 13:10:41 UTC  

They are that hungry to rule

2019-10-09 13:10:44 UTC  

Yup

2019-10-09 13:11:08 UTC  

Tories fail to get an overall majority means the end of brexit, you should at least agree with that

2019-10-09 13:11:16 UTC  

Well yes