Message from @Eccles
Discord ID: 631479143883866132
Essentially going maximum pessimism
Mapping out the possible and probable outcomes isn't "maximum pessism"
I think he's right and they'll form a coalition
Any more than assuming everything will go fine and as you would want is "maximum optomism"
They are that hungry to rule
Yup
Tories fail to get an overall majority means the end of brexit, you should at least agree with that
Well yes
You could very well see it turn into coalition vs coalition
Well no
They still have DUP
in the back pocket
DUP are going to lose seats at the next election
Which is an easy 9 more seats
This was a high watermark for them
They are predicted to lose 1
There are talks of election pacts in NI which would see them lose 5 assuming no other movement
Plus a TPB pact if required
Best case is tbp & tory coalition, that might be enough to keep the fascists out
Tories have already ruled out a BP pact
If there is an extention you'd see that revised, plus you're the one predicting pacts with no backing up of that prediction
Yeah it's power is in swinging seats
I'm allowed to aswell
I'm making predictions based on what is likely, not what is possible
Tbp can't win seats but absolutely can prop up Tories
Fine, LDM has also ruled out supporting labour
Especially if JC is there
You arnt applying these rules equally
LDM have ruled out supporting labour under JC
Brexit party is just UKIP years ago all over again, they have a base riled up but it will ultimately lead to nothing.
And JC isn't going anywhere
Specifically under a government of national unity
They have made not promises regarding post GE
As far as the LDM are concerned, JC is here to stay, it's not their place to decide who should lead opposing parties
They can't oust corbyn, nobody can. Labour only survives due to tribalism and boundaries now
Labour will still get 200 seats
Corbyn or not
Another thing you can thank the failures of globalism, Major, Blair, and Cameron for
They might pick up some in Scotland now that Ruth Davidson's history
Labour? Doubt it, they'll go Lib Dem