Message from @meglide
Discord ID: 775978355211894804
(I'd wait for a statistician of the forensic kind to verify things before jumping to conclusions)
Why a forensic statistician?
Data scientists do the same
whatever I don't know the exact titles
maybe a good data scientist is something too
but there is a difference between someone that can find a pattern and someone that can verify that it means something
a forensic something-or-other will be someone who is used in court as an expert witness, or works for a firm that does that sort of thing
> 3) when it compares to a mostly Democratic county the high end on the horizontal axis is 20 percent and to properly compare them you need to put them on the same scale as the Republican counties and when you do I don't think you'll see any difference
@meglide
I did this comparison for all counties across all states (but not at the presinct level) and It matches what Shiva says it should. https://github.com/Bitcadia/DownBallot/blob/master/Outputs/CountyDownBallotDiffsByStraight.pdf
@DrSammyD huh? I just looked at your data and it doesn't look Shiva's data
exactly, bunched and random but with straight lines, no inflection
That's what the MI precinct data should look like.
yeah but you did it for MI as a whole and it looks okay
In other words, Romney's suggestion that "Real" republicans would not vote for Trump is nonsense
Yes, MI looks ok but not at the precinct level
I don't have the precinct level data.
So it all gets hidden inside the county
actually I think what Romney said has some truth to it ... I know of several folks that voted the way Romney describes
Not according to the evidence I just posted. The vast majority of individual Highly republican areas for both Wisconsin and Minnesota voted for trump at a higher rate if they didn't vote party line.
Why not MI? They're basically the same states culturally and demographically
I'm not sure on that one ... never lived in any of those states, but I get the impression that MI is different because of Detroit
That's only one county. It's one dot in all of those on the plots
And WI has Milwaukee, and MN has the Twin Cities. WI and MN both had heavy rioting.
Downballot isn't really much of a thing
Happens every election cycle where you vote for the candidate and nothing else
Hundreds of thousands of votes in GA, FL, etc.
I'm watching you!
:P
just an fyi, a friend of mine had his discord account suspended, and that of his entire admin group in his discord for "exposing voter fraud" (his words, I'm not sure what this means exactly heh) and he had to come back to discord with another account
(he might have been brigading for all i know though)
I find this a little bit concerning
Funny they dont moderate groups of pedophiles Ive heard...
I am not yet blaming discord, he hasn't really given me a lot of information, he could have been doing something terrible
Discord came after the death of iirc for the very same thing. But I agree.
I'm still on irc 🙂
Yes but its no long anonymous as it used to be, which is a good thing in my opinion. People dont play nice when no ones watching
🎶 *It always feels like somebody's watching me*🎶