Message from @nachik

Discord ID: 781303245292175361


2020-11-25 22:38:44 UTC  

Cool... No worries... Just curiosities.

2020-11-25 22:38:54 UTC  

Thanks!

2020-11-25 22:38:58 UTC  

Well curiosities will be sated.

2020-11-25 22:39:14 UTC  

(Hopefully!)

2020-11-25 22:50:37 UTC  

what do you guys think will happen in PA?

2020-11-25 22:52:48 UTC  

@Maw So, do you get to celebrate 2 Thanksgivings each year? I'm awfully curious today.

2020-11-25 23:00:52 UTC  

I think that today's show might indicate that they realize that they are unlikely to get anywhere in the courts - especially now that the election has been certified and the slate of electors set. This is a Hail Mary from the opposite end zone. Rudy pleaded with the legislature to invalidate the certified popular vote, but this might not even be possible: https://www.justsecurity.org/73274/no-state-legislatures-cannot-overrule-the-popular-vote/

2020-11-25 23:03:21 UTC  

I don't know anything about this site, but the argument seemed sound to me. It says that since Congress has designated that Electors are to be chosen on 11/3 this year, a state's legislature would have had to have voted on 11/3 on the slate of electors in lieu of a popular vote. Once the state legislature determined the manner it was to be decided - popular vote - the ship has sailed.

2020-11-25 23:11:24 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/771201221145919499/781296009594404894/5212214b-42e0-4bb6-9912-6c881805f7be.png

2020-11-25 23:17:46 UTC  

Election certification is the trigger to contest elections in the court, not the end.

2020-11-25 23:25:46 UTC  

@DrSammyD Is that true for all states? I know that GA this year, Trump couldn't request a recount until after the certification. In 2000, all of the court cases delayed FL's certification. Once SCOTUS gave the Equal Protection ruling against changing the counting method as part of a selective recount, FL certified immediately and there was talk at the time that the legal hurdle was higher post certification, but that was a long time ago and I am too lazy to look it up.

2020-11-25 23:27:24 UTC  

@TaLoN132 Sure do.

2020-11-25 23:28:09 UTC  

@Maw Nice... October and November... Perks!

2020-11-25 23:29:06 UTC  

Most of my close family is in Canada, or Texas/Washington.

2020-11-25 23:29:11 UTC  

so, is this just withheld until a judge can preside over the matter?

2020-11-25 23:33:53 UTC  

As it says in the news: It's enjoined until discovery.

2020-11-25 23:34:07 UTC  

Sort of controversial.

2020-11-25 23:34:30 UTC  

I imagine it's going to be expedited.

2020-11-25 23:39:23 UTC  

still a long shot for Trump but better today

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/771201221145919499/781303051339432016/Screenshot_2020-11-25_at_23.39.02.png

2020-11-25 23:39:23 UTC  

@nachik, you just advanced to level 5!

2020-11-25 23:40:09 UTC  

implied 5.5%

2020-11-25 23:51:17 UTC  

For me it's one of those situations where I don't want to hold my breath, but I can't help it.

2020-11-25 23:57:10 UTC  

1 billion traded on Trump bets in Betfair alone - amazing

2020-11-25 23:57:22 UTC  

£1 billion GBP

2020-11-25 23:58:10 UTC  

So Trump got a pass interference call?

2020-11-25 23:58:25 UTC  

On his hail Mary?

2020-11-25 23:59:19 UTC  

even with PA still 17 electoral votes short, so GA or MI are still 1 vote short

2020-11-25 23:59:25 UTC  

3 states is a lot

2020-11-26 00:01:24 UTC  

If he pulls this off, it'll make Bush v Gore look like a small reporting error.

2020-11-26 00:05:13 UTC  

dreams

2020-11-26 00:05:14 UTC  

lol

2020-11-26 00:05:38 UTC  

are any of WI, NV or AZ viable?? pretty long long shot

2020-11-26 00:05:56 UTC  

Rob is on btw

2020-11-26 00:06:24 UTC  

depends if they file for an emergency appeal to the SC Justice overseeing the circuit

2020-11-26 00:07:14 UTC  

odds in betfair up to 6.45%

2020-11-26 00:14:40 UTC  

IF PA flips, I don't see how this doesn't trigger an avalanche...

2020-11-26 00:15:26 UTC  

80K votes

2020-11-26 00:18:27 UTC  

Am I getting ahead of myself thinking today has been a good sign for Trump?

2020-11-26 00:19:14 UTC  

Did you notice all the reporting on this stop?

2020-11-26 00:19:26 UTC  

Yeah, I'd say it's a good day.

2020-11-26 00:20:28 UTC  

They've switched to reporting on him doing pardons and other last minute presidential orders