minimum number of rallies I think Trump should do in each state before November 6

FL: 3
MT: 2
OH: 2
AZ: 2
TN: 1
WI: 1
IN: 1
ND: 1
PA: 1
MN: 1
MI: 1

I definitely hope he blitzes a few states at the last minute. WV, MO, IN, and ND should all get a rally in the final two days.

MI and PA would be a waste, shift those to other states

idk if FL helps in the same way

Scott has a segment of Clinton voters he will win - Trump rallying might drive them away

most important are the 6 states with competitive races that he carried by 18% or more (MO, IN, MT, WV, ND, TN)

and then he has to upstage Beto's rally in TX

It's not just Scott, it's the governor races

and appearances would absolutely help, it's about location, there's plenty of areas in FL, the panhandle, Lee County, etc where Trump's appearance will definitely drive up turnout.

Why won’t he go to Ohio?

He probably will do Ohio rallies before November 6. More than one

OH-Gov is probably aiming for a different coalition than the one Trump drives

I'm not sure DeWine wants to interact much with Trump

the Based Black Man from <@&414591534621786133> replied to me

Oh yeah? Well I touched him, TWICE

http://www.270towin.com/2018-senate-election/8zZbY8

Red Storm Crystal ball ratings

http://www.270towin.com/2018-senate-election/8yr7ol

My map looks more like this. I'm thinking we overperform in the rust-belt. Get 1% or 2% victories in MO, FL and IN, etc. http://www.270towin.com/2018-senate-election/awk7oa

Uncertain about NV and AZ.

I still think Ohio is competitive

It could be, but I'd give the incumbent a strong advantage. If we do really well in the rust belt then it's going red after WV and WI but before MI and PA. But if I were betting money, I'd bet blue.

Dude he’s under scandal now, it’s hurt his ratings

He has a lot more money than his literal who opponent. https://www.opensecrets.org/races/summary?cycle=2018&id=OHS1

And the max margin of error I'm willing to apply to the region is 10 points, and he's up by 15. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/senate/oh/ohio_senate_renacci_vs_brown-6331.html

If Rennaci can bring him down to Manchin levels in polling then I think we can flip it though.

He’s not up by 13

That’s bullshit

biased

it's fake

new york times poll? ohio isn't even in new york btfoi

What the fuck’s wrong with you?

His lowest polling is up 13 points. I know the polls are going to be off, but the most I could possibly see them being off by is 10 points.

Dude all the polls made were either by NBC or Colleges outside of the state

They don’t know what its actually like

Plus it’s show Republicans are consistently underpolled here

What do you mean "underpolled?"

They aren’t really as polled as much

In many elections here the Republicans score 15 more points than the polls say

examples?