should not control an entire big district

Hoping we can make Iowa completely red

It is more likely to be completely blue. Loebsack is completely safe, Blum will lose by almost 20 points, and Young is a tossup

Even Steve King is not invulnerable

Though he’ll probably win

Let's not focus on probabilities and focus on the activism, alright?

yep

but Iowa completely blue? lmao you gotta stop spending too much time on US Election Atlas @Yellowhammer

It’s very unlikely, but more likely than all red @Julien Blanc

King is awesome he should run for senate

@Pielover19 a while back we made a 'best case scenario' for the House

what's your new 'best case scenario'

Wait a minute, lemme craft it up.

http://www.270towin.com/2018-house-election/vKwk4wK

@Julien Blanc

Mediocre.

http://www.270towin.com/2018-house-election/gKZjMGK

This is the real BEST CASE SCENARIO

Best case in virtually every district

>Tfw trying to make a new Kavanaugh Coattail prediction but 270ToWin's share button is broken

Just take a screenshot I guess

https://twitter.com/AndrewHClark/status/1047942756860145664

Let’s hope this is a real trend and that it sticks!

thing with IBD/TIPP is that they had it as a tie, then just a short while later they jumped it up to D+11

Doesn’t seem that reliable in that case

If that IBD/TIPP poll translated to the results in the midterms, we would get about 237 house seats, or in other words, a net gain of 2 seats.

Highly improbable, but if that were to happen, there would be a shitshow beyond comprehension from the dems.

They would start getting very violent

I would imagine. Trump would retain the margin in the House that's been passing legislation pretty reliably and he'll have a larger margin to work with in the Senate to get legislation passed

https://realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2018_generic_congressional_vote-6185.html#polls

It'd be like clockwork

on August 2, IBD/TIPP had it as a tie, but then had it at D+11 on August 30

This is certainly an outlier which is why I say it's improbable

IBD/TIPP isn’t very reliable, so I’m not going to read to much into this unless we get some corroboration from other polls

It's also the most recent poll, so we'll see

I concur

If we retain our margin in the House, they would explode

It would also be historic

A major sign the Democratic Party is on it’s last legs

I see IBD/TIPP as one of the most left-wing reliable polls.

They were pretty close with Trump but if you looked into it they had some sneaky methodology, which patently favored the Democrats.