Button complaining of California turning into Mexico reminded me of that vid lol

Is that actually you?

I don't believe it.

You didn't see nothing, goyim

Oh that's right.

I didn't.

I'm a good goy right?

A shekel for you ⚪

thank you rabbi

you're so generous

<@&414473793499693066>

Special Election on tuesday

Likely Democrat pickup

state legislature I assume?

considering the circumstances, it's probably going to be a pickup, yes

yes

I wonder if the Democratic turnout in these special elections is close to their 'ceiling'

that is, it'll be hard for them to get much higher than the votes they've gotten

so on November 6, there will likely not be much more than 87,299 voting for Tipirneni

what are your thoughts <@&432627153805377536> <@&399683356218097667>

here's GA-06 in comparison. Stooksbury doesn't even have a picture out of him, and ran a non campaign. There was speculation he didn't even exist.

with all the millions and millions of dollars that Ossof spent (more than Handel), he only got 600 more votes than a guy who people speculated didn't even exist

@Marini put that in Misc Discussions

Oh dang strict moderation

Alrighty

with all the work Doug Jones put in, he got 92% of Hillary's vote. You could consider this to be around the ceiling for Democrats in Alabama

Correct. Democrats have a Hillary-ceiling vote nearly everywhere.

At least in deep red states

assuming the same pattern holds, it will be tough to take Pennsylvania from Bob Casey

@Nuke yeah, this ceiling could just be for deep red areas

I actually doubt Hillary's voter turnout will stay in areas that the media proudly proclaims will be smashed by muh blue tsunami

This nominated the GOP in 2010 but Republicans had neither the internal problems nor the the external problems the Democrats are facing.

yeah, there are going to be Democratic voters who turned out for Hillary who will stay home. The question is, how many?

also, there are going to be Democratic voters who stayed home for Hillary who will turn out for this November. So, another question is, how many ?

GOP turnout in these special elections has plummeted, but that could partly be the fact that they're special elections, which makes them think "why bother?"

for PA-18 and AZ-08, it's just ~6-7 months away from November