Message from @🎃Boo-ton🎃

Discord ID: 440997441685422082


2018-05-01 21:19:45 UTC  

"RIP our chances of winning an election"

2018-05-01 21:19:49 UTC  

"VA Senate is definately going blue"

2018-05-01 21:19:56 UTC  

cut that retarded defeatist bullshit out

2018-05-01 21:34:42 UTC  

@Deleted User I agree, it would be best if we used computers to draw the maps, rather than people

2018-05-01 21:48:51 UTC  

Notice that if you draw them with algorithms, the GOP only loses 2 seats.

2018-05-01 21:48:58 UTC  

3 with county borders factored

2018-05-01 21:49:16 UTC  

All but an outright Democrat gerrymander turns the map red

2018-05-01 21:58:58 UTC  

@Deleted User PA is getting redrawn too with a huge boost to Democrats.

2018-05-01 21:59:22 UTC  

@zakattack04 I think the PA redistricting just makes everything more compact

2018-05-01 21:59:34 UTC  

@Deleted User No it helps democrats.

2018-05-01 21:59:45 UTC  

so the GOP favored areas will be solidly red, and the Democratic favored areas are solidly blue

2018-05-01 21:59:53 UTC  

I read an entire article on Slate I think showing how it'll help democrats a ton.

2018-05-01 21:59:58 UTC  

I mean, it takes away gerrymandering in our favor

2018-05-01 22:04:03 UTC  

But it gives more districts to the Democrats

2018-05-01 22:04:13 UTC  

it's a net loss for us

2018-05-01 22:04:46 UTC  

@zakattack04 Before the map was redrawn, Democrats needed a 8-point generic ballot to win, now they only need 7 points

2018-05-01 22:05:20 UTC  

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 And the average swing has been 20 points so far?

2018-05-01 22:05:31 UTC  

yes

2018-05-01 22:05:42 UTC  

Fuck me.

2018-05-01 22:05:49 UTC  

How many seats do they take with a 20 point swing?

2018-05-01 22:06:23 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/440997441685422080/in_that_case.jpg

2018-05-01 22:06:37 UTC  

*dies*

2018-05-01 22:06:52 UTC  

What is that like a 40 seat swing?

2018-05-01 22:06:55 UTC  

or 50

2018-05-01 22:07:15 UTC  

I really doubt Montana will go blue though

2018-05-01 22:07:22 UTC  

50

2018-05-01 22:07:26 UTC  

lmao

2018-05-01 22:07:42 UTC  

only 13 away when the Republicans had the Tea Party xD

2018-05-01 22:08:09 UTC  

Democrats throwing a tantrum can almost outperform us when we are organized, well funded, and mobilized.

2018-05-01 22:08:36 UTC  

this is assuming compare the shift to the actual incumbents, of course

2018-05-01 22:09:06 UTC  

it would be much worse if voters were voting to show support/opposition for Trump

2018-05-01 22:09:24 UTC  

Isn't Iowa pretty red?

2018-05-01 22:09:28 UTC  

nope

2018-05-01 22:09:45 UTC  

in 3 districts, Trump won by less then 10 points

2018-05-01 22:09:50 UTC  

Nah Iowa is pretty elastic

2018-05-01 22:10:11 UTC  

Only Steve King is safe

2018-05-01 22:10:19 UTC  

They're really rural but for some reason they like the agricultural subsidies

2018-05-01 22:10:25 UTC  

despite all of his controversy, amazingly

2018-05-01 22:10:35 UTC  

really lol

2018-05-01 22:10:40 UTC  

Steve King is the safe one?

2018-05-01 22:10:54 UTC  

yep