Message from @🎃Boo-ton🎃
Discord ID: 440997036272123924
RIP our chances of winning an election
The house is red because we took so many states in 2010 and decided the map
Virginia is getting redrawn once Democrats take the state leg there in 2019
VA Senate is definately going blue
Just 2 districts need to flip in that chamber and Northam carried way more than that
"RIP our chances of winning an election"
"VA Senate is definately going blue"
cut that retarded defeatist bullshit out
@Deleted User I agree, it would be best if we used computers to draw the maps, rather than people
Notice that if you draw them with algorithms, the GOP only loses 2 seats.
3 with county borders factored
All but an outright Democrat gerrymander turns the map red
@Deleted User PA is getting redrawn too with a huge boost to Democrats.
@zakattack04 I think the PA redistricting just makes everything more compact
@Deleted User No it helps democrats.
so the GOP favored areas will be solidly red, and the Democratic favored areas are solidly blue
I read an entire article on Slate I think showing how it'll help democrats a ton.
I mean, it takes away gerrymandering in our favor
But it gives more districts to the Democrats
it's a net loss for us
@zakattack04 Before the map was redrawn, Democrats needed a 8-point generic ballot to win, now they only need 7 points
@🎃Boo-ton🎃 And the average swing has been 20 points so far?
yes
Fuck me.
How many seats do they take with a 20 point swing?
*dies*
What is that like a 40 seat swing?
or 50
I really doubt Montana will go blue though
50
lmao
only 13 away when the Republicans had the Tea Party xD
Democrats throwing a tantrum can almost outperform us when we are organized, well funded, and mobilized.
this is assuming compare the shift to the actual incumbents, of course
it would be much worse if voters were voting to show support/opposition for Trump
Isn't Iowa pretty red?
nope
in 3 districts, Trump won by less then 10 points
Nah Iowa is pretty elastic
Only Steve King is safe