Message from @Nuke

Discord ID: 440993028694474752


2018-05-01 20:33:11 UTC  

Lol

2018-05-01 20:33:32 UTC  

Reminds me of the stupid Nate Silver Atlas

2018-05-01 20:33:53 UTC  

useful but it's retarded nevertheless, a lot of the "Republican gerrymander" maps are less partisan than non-gerrymandered maps

2018-05-01 20:34:36 UTC  

oh yeah, that's the thing

2018-05-01 20:34:52 UTC  

because of the fact that the Democratic base is concentrated within cities, it's hard to gerrymander for that

2018-05-01 20:35:46 UTC  

you'd have to draw the lines such that areas within a city swallow enough of a rural area to make it obsolete, while not risking the rural area overcoming the city

2018-05-01 20:40:51 UTC  

Even if they just make small changes that is a huge dent to Republicans

2018-05-01 20:41:17 UTC  

Also they can do some crazy shit

2018-05-01 20:44:27 UTC  

IMO it would be the most fair if the map was like this

2018-05-01 20:44:39 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/440976870628917269/HouseMap.PNG

2018-05-01 20:44:50 UTC  

RIP our chances of winning an election

2018-05-01 20:45:39 UTC  

The house is red because we took so many states in 2010 and decided the map

2018-05-01 20:46:07 UTC  

Virginia is getting redrawn once Democrats take the state leg there in 2019

2018-05-01 20:47:31 UTC  

VA Senate is definately going blue

2018-05-01 20:50:42 UTC  

Just 2 districts need to flip in that chamber and Northam carried way more than that

2018-05-01 21:19:45 UTC  

"RIP our chances of winning an election"

2018-05-01 21:19:49 UTC  

"VA Senate is definately going blue"

2018-05-01 21:19:56 UTC  

cut that retarded defeatist bullshit out

2018-05-01 21:34:42 UTC  

@Deleted User I agree, it would be best if we used computers to draw the maps, rather than people

2018-05-01 21:48:51 UTC  

Notice that if you draw them with algorithms, the GOP only loses 2 seats.

2018-05-01 21:48:58 UTC  

3 with county borders factored

2018-05-01 21:49:16 UTC  

All but an outright Democrat gerrymander turns the map red

2018-05-01 21:58:58 UTC  

@Deleted User PA is getting redrawn too with a huge boost to Democrats.

2018-05-01 21:59:22 UTC  

@zakattack04 I think the PA redistricting just makes everything more compact

2018-05-01 21:59:34 UTC  

@Deleted User No it helps democrats.

2018-05-01 21:59:45 UTC  

so the GOP favored areas will be solidly red, and the Democratic favored areas are solidly blue

2018-05-01 21:59:53 UTC  

I read an entire article on Slate I think showing how it'll help democrats a ton.

2018-05-01 21:59:58 UTC  

I mean, it takes away gerrymandering in our favor

2018-05-01 22:04:03 UTC  

But it gives more districts to the Democrats

2018-05-01 22:04:13 UTC  

it's a net loss for us

2018-05-01 22:04:46 UTC  

@zakattack04 Before the map was redrawn, Democrats needed a 8-point generic ballot to win, now they only need 7 points

2018-05-01 22:05:20 UTC  

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 And the average swing has been 20 points so far?

2018-05-01 22:05:31 UTC  

yes

2018-05-01 22:05:42 UTC  

Fuck me.

2018-05-01 22:05:49 UTC  

How many seats do they take with a 20 point swing?

2018-05-01 22:06:23 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/440997441685422080/in_that_case.jpg

2018-05-01 22:06:37 UTC  

*dies*

2018-05-01 22:06:52 UTC  

What is that like a 40 seat swing?

2018-05-01 22:06:55 UTC  

or 50

2018-05-01 22:07:15 UTC  

I really doubt Montana will go blue though