...is the fact we discuss them at all.

+ we've got an important congressional district tomorrow.

up for special election.

Pray we win boys.

it's regarded as solid

gop

but if we lose...

not a good sign, friends.

If it's a swing of 4-5 or under, it's a very good sign for some of the vulnerable seats in the South. If it's a swing of 8+, it's an ominous indicator for the midterms ahead.

But the swing against the GOP has been much greater in rural areas/states than urban areas/states likely due to the complacency of Trump voters.

Yep.

So if we indeed lose this seat, you can guarantee Will Hurd's seat is lost also.

As they're both heavily Hispanic.

Rural areas are really complacent since like 60-90% of people in them support Trump.

That's right.

It's deeply improbable that it flips in favour of Dems but ultimately within the realm of possibility.

Esp. given it's a vacant seat.

W/o an incumbency advantage and a low white % of the pop.

Thankfully the HIspanics are quite low turnout and are LESS heavily Democratic than Californian Hispanics.

Nonetheless, definitely a future worry as demographics deteriorate if it doesn't flip tomorrow.

Indeed.

lmao he thinks Georgia would swing blue? I think Trump easily wins back the vast majority of the conservative NeverTrumper vote that went for McMuffin or other candidates in 2016, which nets him Minnesota and Nevada and New Hampshire easily, and gets him larger margins in all the red states. I think he also wins a LOT of moderates and independents who feel wary of the left, and are pleasantly surprised that Drumpf isn't destroying the world, so that could net him Virginia, Colorado, New Mexico...maybe even more

Tbh I think that it's actually extraordinary that we've been able to win so much

I can only trust that God is on our side.

Georgia would be unrealistic if it were like...

A state where whites didn't vote consistently Republican

If you look at statistics, it actually doesn't match up very well.

@[Lex] yeah, I don't think the Democrats are pushing that hard for TX-23 tomorrow

*TX-27

https://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/special-election-to-replace-farenthold-could-head-to-a-runoff

https://www.houstonpublicmedia.org/articles/news/2018/06/26/293060/republicans-looking-to-avoid-a-runoff-in-sleepy-special-election-to-replace-blake-farenthold/

Anyone online?

me

Me

me

so I’m on a little trip today

To the former Rhodesia?

Nah

I’m with my family

Hi with my family, I'm Dad!

I'm so sick of his shit