Message from @Nuke

Discord ID: 462532330414800897


2018-06-30 02:55:10 UTC  

Gut feeling is telling me this is very good for us. Trump's strong is getting benefitall deals.

2018-06-30 02:57:52 UTC  

It is conflicting reports rn

2018-06-30 02:59:31 UTC  

Hopefully the Phase two of the tax cuts are more aimed at the middle and working class

2018-06-30 02:59:38 UTC  

Not like the first one

2018-06-30 03:02:33 UTC  

Imagine a world without the EUSSR

2018-06-30 03:32:14 UTC  

This is as per Axios, which I think broke the story in the first place which Secretary Mnuchin then denied

2018-06-30 03:33:40 UTC  

But if it happens it'd be huge for the base.

2018-06-30 03:33:51 UTC  

This is almost like getting out of the UN

2018-06-30 08:15:58 UTC  

Button Mash's projections for 2020.

2018-06-30 08:16:22 UTC  

Coupled with Zakattack kvetching about the futility of action in private with me.

2018-06-30 08:16:25 UTC  

Button Mash is fucking retarded.

2018-06-30 08:16:44 UTC  

Let's keep them banned.

2018-06-30 08:17:08 UTC  

We have maintained strong quality with their absence.

2018-06-30 08:17:18 UTC  

I also suggest keeping them out.

2018-06-30 08:17:39 UTC  

The main problem since they've been banned...

2018-06-30 08:17:48 UTC  

...is the fact we discuss them at all.

2018-06-30 08:18:05 UTC  

+ we've got an important congressional district tomorrow.

2018-06-30 08:18:13 UTC  

up for special election.

2018-06-30 08:18:21 UTC  

Pray we win boys.

2018-06-30 08:18:28 UTC  

it's regarded as solid

2018-06-30 08:18:31 UTC  

gop

2018-06-30 08:18:34 UTC  

but if we lose...

2018-06-30 08:18:41 UTC  

not a good sign, friends.

2018-06-30 08:20:10 UTC  

If it's a swing of 4-5 or under, it's a very good sign for some of the vulnerable seats in the South. If it's a swing of 8+, it's an ominous indicator for the midterms ahead.

2018-06-30 08:20:46 UTC  

But the swing against the GOP has been much greater in rural areas/states than urban areas/states likely due to the complacency of Trump voters.

2018-06-30 08:21:12 UTC  

Yep.

2018-06-30 08:21:23 UTC  

So if we indeed lose this seat, you can guarantee Will Hurd's seat is lost also.

2018-06-30 08:21:32 UTC  

As they're both heavily Hispanic.

2018-06-30 08:21:34 UTC  

Rural areas are really complacent since like 60-90% of people in them support Trump.

2018-06-30 08:21:39 UTC  

That's right.

2018-06-30 08:23:00 UTC  

It's deeply improbable that it flips in favour of Dems but ultimately within the realm of possibility.

2018-06-30 08:23:23 UTC  

Esp. given it's a vacant seat.

2018-06-30 08:23:41 UTC  

W/o an incumbency advantage and a low white % of the pop.

2018-06-30 08:24:10 UTC  

Thankfully the HIspanics are quite low turnout and are LESS heavily Democratic than Californian Hispanics.

2018-06-30 08:24:28 UTC  

Nonetheless, definitely a future worry as demographics deteriorate if it doesn't flip tomorrow.

2018-06-30 08:27:00 UTC  

Indeed.

2018-06-30 12:43:23 UTC  

lmao he thinks Georgia would swing blue? I think Trump easily wins back the vast majority of the conservative NeverTrumper vote that went for McMuffin or other candidates in 2016, which nets him Minnesota and Nevada and New Hampshire easily, and gets him larger margins in all the red states. I think he also wins a LOT of moderates and independents who feel wary of the left, and are pleasantly surprised that Drumpf isn't destroying the world, so that could net him Virginia, Colorado, New Mexico...maybe even more

2018-06-30 12:45:08 UTC  

Tbh I think that it's actually extraordinary that we've been able to win so much

2018-06-30 12:45:20 UTC  

I can only trust that God is on our side.