Message from @[Lex]

Discord ID: 462533796177248276


2018-06-30 08:17:18 UTC  

I also suggest keeping them out.

2018-06-30 08:17:39 UTC  

The main problem since they've been banned...

2018-06-30 08:17:48 UTC  

...is the fact we discuss them at all.

2018-06-30 08:18:05 UTC  

+ we've got an important congressional district tomorrow.

2018-06-30 08:18:13 UTC  

up for special election.

2018-06-30 08:18:21 UTC  

Pray we win boys.

2018-06-30 08:18:28 UTC  

it's regarded as solid

2018-06-30 08:18:31 UTC  

gop

2018-06-30 08:18:34 UTC  

but if we lose...

2018-06-30 08:18:41 UTC  

not a good sign, friends.

2018-06-30 08:20:10 UTC  

If it's a swing of 4-5 or under, it's a very good sign for some of the vulnerable seats in the South. If it's a swing of 8+, it's an ominous indicator for the midterms ahead.

2018-06-30 08:20:46 UTC  

But the swing against the GOP has been much greater in rural areas/states than urban areas/states likely due to the complacency of Trump voters.

2018-06-30 08:21:12 UTC  

Yep.

2018-06-30 08:21:23 UTC  

So if we indeed lose this seat, you can guarantee Will Hurd's seat is lost also.

2018-06-30 08:21:32 UTC  

As they're both heavily Hispanic.

2018-06-30 08:21:34 UTC  

Rural areas are really complacent since like 60-90% of people in them support Trump.

2018-06-30 08:21:39 UTC  

That's right.

2018-06-30 08:23:00 UTC  

It's deeply improbable that it flips in favour of Dems but ultimately within the realm of possibility.

2018-06-30 08:23:23 UTC  

Esp. given it's a vacant seat.

2018-06-30 08:23:41 UTC  

W/o an incumbency advantage and a low white % of the pop.

2018-06-30 08:24:10 UTC  

Thankfully the HIspanics are quite low turnout and are LESS heavily Democratic than Californian Hispanics.

2018-06-30 08:24:28 UTC  

Nonetheless, definitely a future worry as demographics deteriorate if it doesn't flip tomorrow.

2018-06-30 08:27:00 UTC  

Indeed.

2018-06-30 12:43:23 UTC  

lmao he thinks Georgia would swing blue? I think Trump easily wins back the vast majority of the conservative NeverTrumper vote that went for McMuffin or other candidates in 2016, which nets him Minnesota and Nevada and New Hampshire easily, and gets him larger margins in all the red states. I think he also wins a LOT of moderates and independents who feel wary of the left, and are pleasantly surprised that Drumpf isn't destroying the world, so that could net him Virginia, Colorado, New Mexico...maybe even more

2018-06-30 12:45:08 UTC  

Tbh I think that it's actually extraordinary that we've been able to win so much

2018-06-30 12:45:20 UTC  

I can only trust that God is on our side.

2018-06-30 12:45:45 UTC  

Georgia would be unrealistic if it were like...

2018-06-30 12:46:05 UTC  

A state where whites didn't vote consistently Republican

2018-06-30 12:47:55 UTC  

If you look at statistics, it actually doesn't match up very well.

2018-06-30 12:58:47 UTC  

@[Lex] yeah, I don't think the Democrats are pushing that hard for TX-23 tomorrow

2018-06-30 12:59:02 UTC  

*TX-27

2018-06-30 14:10:46 UTC  

Anyone online?

2018-06-30 14:13:10 UTC  

me

2018-06-30 14:14:00 UTC  

Me

2018-06-30 14:14:08 UTC  

me

2018-06-30 14:17:09 UTC  

so I’m on a little trip today

2018-06-30 14:18:11 UTC  

To the former Rhodesia?

2018-06-30 14:18:16 UTC  

Nah

2018-06-30 14:18:29 UTC  

I’m with my family