It is incredibly unwise to make such a huge risk just to see friends and a concert, as much as it sucks to not do so. Especially given that you seem to be a health professional.

It spreads through droplets, yes. The jury is still out regarding aerosol spread. In any case, this is going to go on for 18 months. What well happen will happen. I'm much more likely to be exposed at work than i am at a concert or in Germany.

Given there will be no vaccine until spring or summer 2021. Again, this is a marathon, not a sprint.

You're likely to be exposed at both is the point though. You also have no real way of knowing who is infected and where until they're symptomatic, which can take a long time.

It definitely spreads through aerosol, this is why the vents of the Diamond Princess were sealed

And likely why how the infection spread as fast as it did

Whatever we do needs to be sustainable for a very long time. We can't live in isolation for that long. Or if we did, we'd be unrecognizable by the end and much less than we are now.

Actually, aerosol has absolutely not been proven.

What has been proven is that this virus does not denature on surfaces as fast as previous coronaviruses.

Generally, predecessors to this bug dies after a few hours on a surface. SARS-2 lasts perhaps 24 hours on cardboard. I was reading a paper that it lasts at least 9 hours on steel. Maybe much longer on plastic.

With such long dwell time on fomites (objects harboring the virus), you can explain spread aboard the ship without necessarily needing to suppose aerosol transmission.

The nursing home in Washington that has yielded so many deaths has also provided us a wealth of data about how this thing survives on surfaces

It is downright scary how durable this virus is. It's still being tested but this dwell data suggests this thing will not "just vanish" during the summer as our dear leader likes to claim on TV.

GG @DrYuriMom, you just advanced to level 8!

It only makes sense for the virus to spread as fast as it does through some measure of aerosol transmission:
"Federally funded tests conducted by scientists from several major institutions indicated that the novel form of coronavirus behind a worldwide outbreak can survive in the air for several hours.

A study awaiting peer review from scientists at Princeton University, the University of California-Los Angeles and the National Institutes of Health (NIH) posted online Wednesday indicated that the COVID-19 virus could remain viable in the air "up to 3 hours post aerosolization," while remaining alive on plastic and other surfaces for up to three days.

"Our results indicate that aerosol and fomite transmission of HCoV-19 is plausible, as the virus can remain viable in aerosols for multiple hours and on surfaces up to days," reads the study's abstract."

https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/487110-tests-indicate-coronavirus-can-survive-in-the-air

A study awaiting peer review

A study awaiting peer review

A study awaiting peer review

Anyone know what peer review is?

It's a hypothesis until the data is validated.

And if it's aerosol it just furthers my statements

We're going to see this whatever we do. Let's live our lives and isolate those most vulnerable.

I know what peer review is

Saying this is pointless, most studies on this novel virus have likely not been peer reviewed yet since this takes a long time to do. According to this logic, any information we have is subject to change (which is true). So why not take into account the possibility of aerosol transmission, given the evidence we already have for this? Why put yourself and everyone in your vicinity at risk of infection when travelling if you don't even have methods of transmission solidified yet, *while* knowing for certain that cases can be contagious while asymptomatic and knowing the possibility for a higher death rate (and taking into account the serious symptom rate as well). That's very irresponsible.

I'm actually more concerned about the dwell time on surfaces than I am about aerosol

Both are bad.

Agreed

But the dwell time makes it more likely someone who doesn't even know a sick person has been around could get infected

Also peer review isn't a hypothesis, it's the scientific community accepting a full study.

Makes it more challenging to isolate

Anyway, I gotta go to bed. Plenty of sleep is among the best mechanisms someone like me can take to remain healthy. 🙂

Yes but this can happen either way. While virons in the air probably won't live nearly as long as on a surface they can just spread out farther.

Alright, take care then.

China is trying to blame the virus on America now. xD

Even though it either came into from their poor hygiene by having things like uncooked meat next to cooked meat i.e. Gordon Ramsey's nightmare, or them spreading a virus they were working with in a lab because they used poor protocols.

Ironically though, the countries that trusted China the most have been hit worst by the virus.

Italy signed up to the Belt and Road, and Iran and South Korea also refused to close borders and start screening travellers.

So the govts are getting their reward for sucking up to China and ignoring all the warning signs for profit.

The EU is bitching about the US being racist or whatever, but what Trump said wasn't wrong - they screwed up their response to the virus.

Taiwan was on the ball right away though.