๐Ÿ“ˆ๏ฝœpoll-discussion

Discord ID: 750516136189231135


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2020-09-09 03:26:48 UTC

Mind your own business please.

2020-09-09 03:27:17 UTC

MiNd YoUR oWn BUisNeSs

2020-09-09 03:27:36 UTC

it's not needed to @ somebody when they're in the channel talking to u, it gets kinda rude actually

2020-09-09 03:30:35 UTC

Your referring to miniores when you say that right? ^

2020-09-09 03:31:04 UTC

everybody in here, actually

2020-09-09 03:32:02 UTC

When Kaladin did it, it was a legitimate use of the @ to explain why mini shouldnโ€™t have @โ€˜d

2020-09-09 03:32:14 UTC

Idk doesnโ€™t really matter I guess

2020-09-09 03:33:23 UTC

well if the person talking to another person suddenly realizes the stuff they're talking about gets ignored, then i consider it a valid reason to @ that other person

2020-09-09 03:34:00 UTC

But if you're actively having a conversation with that other person you don't need to @ them

2020-09-09 03:34:19 UTC

if i'm awake i'm willing to help out with any discussions on the server except for the mostly text areas...

2020-09-09 03:36:32 UTC

Ok I see what your saying. Yeah I almost never use @ but I see people do it every message in a conversation and it doesnโ€™t make sense

2020-09-09 04:07:31 UTC

Try and keep this channel on topic.

2020-09-09 04:17:54 UTC

Ok ๐Ÿ‘Œ

2020-09-13 05:41:37 UTC

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/750516136189231135/754577506644000828/Capture.JPG

2020-09-13 05:41:52 UTC

possible 2020 election map

2020-09-13 05:42:17 UTC

tbf biden could probably sweep the rest of the south if he focused money there

2020-09-13 05:42:37 UTC

alaska could go blue

2020-09-13 05:42:47 UTC

la ms al sc all have high black populations

2020-09-13 05:42:56 UTC

ar

2020-09-13 06:19:07 UTC

that map is a Biden dream... fantasy

2020-09-13 06:59:56 UTC

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/750516136189231135/754597212788621432/Screenshot_20200905-224755_Samsung_Internet.jpg

2020-09-13 07:00:04 UTC

How tf does this work? (This is from FiveThirtyEight and THEY said it is a possible reason, even though it's bullshit)

2020-09-13 07:03:04 UTC

@its_Jimmy Atleast you gave Virginia to Trump. ๐Ÿคฃ

2020-09-13 15:49:47 UTC

<:KEK:726877368601411624>

2020-09-13 17:58:06 UTC

mail in ballots (which shouldn't exist) could and should have location tracking.

2020-09-13 17:58:52 UTC

solicited have there rare place but unsolicited do not.

2020-09-13 19:34:39 UTC

Location tracking? Usually mail in ballots are made of paper.

2020-09-13 19:37:06 UTC

Hello. ๐Ÿ‘‹

2020-09-13 23:00:13 UTC

As someone from Tennessee I don't see us going blue anytime soon. Sure Memphis and Nashville are blue but most of the rest of the state is strongly red and for now tips on the balance towards Republican.

2020-09-13 23:08:47 UTC

I believe Nebraska 2nd district will go Republican mainly because Omaha's mayor is Republican, this prediction is not based on polls.

2020-09-13 23:11:18 UTC

I am curious how NV will turn out for the election with Trump being in Minden, Reno, and Vegas.

2020-09-13 23:14:00 UTC

Nevada 2016 results:

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/750516136189231135/754842344175698000/unknown.png

2020-09-14 00:25:22 UTC

Honestly its usually the Large cities populated by masses of idiots thinking there is opportunity for them without hard work so they usually end up influencing that general area to be fucking retarded.

2020-09-14 00:25:58 UTC

Tucson and Flagstaff in AZ are super liberal but nowhere else really

2020-09-14 00:47:18 UTC

Yeah, same with Texas where all the big cities are in blue counties.

2020-09-14 00:49:30 UTC

which is why the dems want to throw out the electoral system and go only on total vote popular voting system, because it's democratic but not of the constitutional republic

2020-09-14 01:07:11 UTC

Yep. They believe we're a democracy but we never have been.

2020-09-14 03:56:02 UTC

Ew Nevada seems to be catching the COMMIEFORNIA-19 blues

2020-09-14 03:59:44 UTC

It better not catch the communist ones.

2020-09-14 07:46:04 UTC

Michigan polls are wierd as hell.

2020-09-14 07:46:49 UTC

I guess that's the problem with left leaning polls. :|

2020-09-14 10:30:30 UTC

A bit over the top but like

2020-09-14 10:30:31 UTC

Yah

2020-09-15 12:03:06 UTC

I never trust polls.

2020-09-15 12:03:18 UTC

There easy to skew one way or another.

2020-09-15 12:11:24 UTC

most polls are done on college campuses or msm studios

2020-09-15 12:11:51 UTC

been like 10yrs since i've seen a polling done house to house or at a shopping mall

2020-09-15 15:52:51 UTC

Same here

2020-09-15 15:53:02 UTC

Thats why I never trust them

2020-09-15 21:49:09 UTC

Polls suck. They were wrong in 2016/2018, and they'll be wrong in 2020 as well!

2020-09-15 23:36:43 UTC

Remember, both Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden served under the Obama administration and have committed crimes from oversees.

2020-09-15 23:38:23 UTC

Only difference is Hillary Clinton is energized and had the black and woman vote while Joe Biden only has the black vote but is VERY sleepy.

2020-09-15 23:39:05 UTC

The Dems aren't giving their best, I have to say.

2020-09-16 00:01:08 UTC

When have they ever?

2020-09-17 03:18:31 UTC

Even basing predictions around Mayor/Governor turnouts isn't super reliable anymore.

2020-09-17 03:19:14 UTC

A lot of surveying of Union Democrats/Blue collar workers that vote for Democrats Locally are favoring Trump and Republicans on a National level because of how well the economy did.

2020-09-17 03:20:39 UTC

On top of that, different polling groups have come to admit flat out that they can't accurately track Trump's Voter base for many reasons, but one likely reason is that they flat out refuse to participate in polling.

2020-09-17 04:57:08 UTC

There's also the shy Trump voters which are looming around which could turn the odds of an election against polling. Some are saying that it's harder to get Trump voters because they barely pick up the phone to other numbers.

2020-09-17 04:59:03 UTC

At this point, there is no real reliable poll to predict these elections.

2020-09-17 16:36:20 UTC

Rasmussen seems to be relatively reliable. they nailed 2016 and arent so horribly biased that they want to avoid polling Trump supporters to sway their results. Dont truly trust the polls personally, dont really care for them too much, but if I had to pick one... it would be them.

2020-09-18 00:13:42 UTC

I was looking at pollsters and I come across one made by helmut norpoth.

2020-09-18 00:14:16 UTC

Who is that?

2020-09-18 00:14:16 UTC

What it says is that Donald Trump has a 91% chance over Joe Biden whom has a 9% chance to win the presidency.

2020-09-18 00:14:41 UTC

Can you link it? Sounds like an interesting read

2020-09-18 00:14:52 UTC

I am trying to find what states they are polling by it is still pretty difficult.

2020-09-18 00:15:04 UTC
2020-09-18 00:15:06 UTC

Sure.

2020-09-18 00:15:13 UTC

Thanks!

2020-09-18 00:15:45 UTC

I am trying to figure out which states they predict for Trump and which states they predict for Biden.

2020-09-18 00:17:38 UTC

The only map I found is this:

2020-09-18 00:17:57 UTC

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/750516136189231135/756307993418661888/image0-10.jpg

2020-09-18 00:18:27 UTC

This map has too much bullshit to actually be true.

2020-09-18 00:19:48 UTC

I am hypothesizing that this was not the correct map and since I couldn't find an actual map... I decided to make my own map to try and get the EV score.

2020-09-18 00:21:36 UTC

What I found is that when you add up all the states that went the closest to Donald Trump, it would look like this:

2020-09-18 00:21:57 UTC

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/750516136189231135/756308996410835030/unknown.png

2020-09-18 00:22:21 UTC

Could this be the final result? Maybe but probably not...

2020-09-18 00:22:35 UTC

Doubt Oregon will go to him, regardless of their problems. We shall see

2020-09-18 00:23:02 UTC

odds are it will be a landslide on trump end, dems will contest it, demand a recount and an investigation..then investigation will show that dems cheated and total count was worse than anybody imagined on the dem side

2020-09-18 00:23:04 UTC

Yep. Let's hope enough Portland Antifa members get arrested lol.

2020-09-18 00:23:24 UTC

They won't vote anyway

2020-09-18 00:23:36 UTC

All they care about is destruction.

2020-09-18 00:24:44 UTC

Yeah, also for the map... you can go either way if you want Oregon to be red or Connecticut to be red but keep in mind that Oregon went closer to Trump.

2020-09-18 00:27:24 UTC

Also many New Yorkers are moving Connecticut or New Jersey anyways.

2020-09-18 00:50:11 UTC

The election will begin to be over election night

2020-09-18 00:50:31 UTC

It will be a bit of a process but that is the beginning of the end

2020-09-18 01:04:16 UTC

pandemic*

2020-09-18 01:05:37 UTC

dem panic

2020-09-18 01:06:03 UTC

same letters ...just different meaning

2020-09-18 01:50:25 UTC

<:thinking:726878987837636698>

2020-09-18 01:55:01 UTC

the pandemic is going to either disappear on election night, or its all of a sudden going to get 10 times worse "because Trump is incompetent" .... im almost thinking theyre going to refuse to let a tragedy go to waste and use it as much as they can. going to disappear from the media for a while though before it blows up again

2020-09-18 02:21:38 UTC

I'm torn between of it will end after the election but I also know too well that now these governors have been given unlimited power that they won't want to give that up so I'm leaning towards they will drag this out for years till people stand up and tell them ENOUGH!

2020-09-18 07:35:38 UTC

What y'all think the Senate race is gonna be?

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/750516136189231135/756418136214863923/unknown.png

2020-09-18 07:40:02 UTC

I'm less worried about this race since we have many pathways to a majority.

2020-09-18 12:54:24 UTC

Some states I'm not sure there are even enough dead people Dems can dig up to turn them Blue instead of Red.

2020-09-18 13:03:24 UTC

the problem with civil wars and mass casualty events, alot of dead ppl get unmarked graves, so the dems can't make them vote in the future

2020-09-18 20:56:02 UTC

I am in westerm WA state.
Myself and almost everyone I know are voting for Trump. If I walk the block I see US and Trump flags. People wear Trump clothes sometimes too. Now with the fires, and the President talking about sending in the federal government to end it no matter what the state government thinks, I believe there will be even more (and more enthusiastic) support for Trump. We are ripe with voter fraud and have only ever had mail-in voting, so I really hope that can get cleaned up! If Trump does stop the arsonists then he will have single handedly stopped climate change, and isn't that what the left wants?! WA โค๏ธ Trump 2020 <:salut:730846445732888630>

2020-09-18 21:01:10 UTC

My face when neither of the people whoโ€™ve voted that they saw โ€œCutiesโ€ was Joe Biden:

2020-09-18 21:01:16 UTC

<:Surprised_pikachu:726878373762301995>

2020-09-18 21:53:56 UTC

@Armenelos Also vote for a new governor too. ๐Ÿ™‚

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