Message from @Sturmgeschütz III Ausf. D

Discord ID: 755012493037797467


2020-09-13 07:00:04 UTC  

How tf does this work? (This is from FiveThirtyEight and THEY said it is a possible reason, even though it's bullshit)

2020-09-13 07:03:04 UTC  

@its_Jimmy Atleast you gave Virginia to Trump. 🤣

2020-09-13 15:49:47 UTC  

<:KEK:726877368601411624>

2020-09-13 17:58:06 UTC  

mail in ballots (which shouldn't exist) could and should have location tracking.

2020-09-13 17:58:52 UTC  

solicited have there rare place but unsolicited do not.

2020-09-13 19:34:39 UTC  

Location tracking? Usually mail in ballots are made of paper.

2020-09-13 19:37:06 UTC  

Hello. 👋

2020-09-13 23:00:13 UTC  

As someone from Tennessee I don't see us going blue anytime soon. Sure Memphis and Nashville are blue but most of the rest of the state is strongly red and for now tips on the balance towards Republican.

2020-09-13 23:08:47 UTC  

I believe Nebraska 2nd district will go Republican mainly because Omaha's mayor is Republican, this prediction is not based on polls.

2020-09-13 23:11:18 UTC  

I am curious how NV will turn out for the election with Trump being in Minden, Reno, and Vegas.

2020-09-13 23:14:00 UTC  

Nevada 2016 results:

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/750516136189231135/754842344175698000/unknown.png

2020-09-14 00:25:22 UTC  

Honestly its usually the Large cities populated by masses of idiots thinking there is opportunity for them without hard work so they usually end up influencing that general area to be fucking retarded.

2020-09-14 00:25:58 UTC  

Tucson and Flagstaff in AZ are super liberal but nowhere else really

2020-09-14 00:47:18 UTC  

Yeah, same with Texas where all the big cities are in blue counties.

2020-09-14 00:49:30 UTC  

which is why the dems want to throw out the electoral system and go only on total vote popular voting system, because it's democratic but not of the constitutional republic

2020-09-14 01:07:11 UTC  

Yep. They believe we're a democracy but we never have been.

2020-09-14 03:56:02 UTC  

Ew Nevada seems to be catching the COMMIEFORNIA-19 blues

2020-09-14 03:59:44 UTC  

It better not catch the communist ones.

2020-09-14 07:46:04 UTC  

Michigan polls are wierd as hell.

2020-09-14 07:46:49 UTC  

I guess that's the problem with left leaning polls. :|

2020-09-14 10:30:30 UTC  

A bit over the top but like

2020-09-14 10:30:31 UTC  

Yah

2020-09-15 12:03:06 UTC  

I never trust polls.

2020-09-15 12:03:18 UTC  

There easy to skew one way or another.

2020-09-15 12:11:24 UTC  

most polls are done on college campuses or msm studios

2020-09-15 12:11:51 UTC  

been like 10yrs since i've seen a polling done house to house or at a shopping mall

2020-09-15 15:52:51 UTC  

Same here

2020-09-15 15:53:02 UTC  

Thats why I never trust them

2020-09-15 21:49:09 UTC  

Polls suck. They were wrong in 2016/2018, and they'll be wrong in 2020 as well!

2020-09-15 23:36:43 UTC  

Remember, both Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden served under the Obama administration and have committed crimes from oversees.

2020-09-15 23:38:23 UTC  

Only difference is Hillary Clinton is energized and had the black and woman vote while Joe Biden only has the black vote but is VERY sleepy.

2020-09-15 23:39:05 UTC  

The Dems aren't giving their best, I have to say.

2020-09-16 00:01:08 UTC  

When have they ever?

2020-09-17 03:18:31 UTC  

Even basing predictions around Mayor/Governor turnouts isn't super reliable anymore.

2020-09-17 03:19:14 UTC  

A lot of surveying of Union Democrats/Blue collar workers that vote for Democrats Locally are favoring Trump and Republicans on a National level because of how well the economy did.

2020-09-17 03:20:39 UTC  

On top of that, different polling groups have come to admit flat out that they can't accurately track Trump's Voter base for many reasons, but one likely reason is that they flat out refuse to participate in polling.

2020-09-17 04:57:08 UTC  

There's also the shy Trump voters which are looming around which could turn the odds of an election against polling. Some are saying that it's harder to get Trump voters because they barely pick up the phone to other numbers.

2020-09-17 04:59:03 UTC  

At this point, there is no real reliable poll to predict these elections.

2020-09-17 16:36:20 UTC  

Rasmussen seems to be relatively reliable. they nailed 2016 and arent so horribly biased that they want to avoid polling Trump supporters to sway their results. Dont truly trust the polls personally, dont really care for them too much, but if I had to pick one... it would be them.

2020-09-18 00:13:42 UTC  

I was looking at pollsters and I come across one made by helmut norpoth.