I was looking at pollsters and I come across one made by helmut norpoth.

Who is that?

What it says is that Donald Trump has a 91% chance over Joe Biden whom has a 9% chance to win the presidency.

Can you link it? Sounds like an interesting read

I am trying to find what states they are polling by it is still pretty difficult.

http://primarymodel.com

Sure.

Thanks!

I am trying to figure out which states they predict for Trump and which states they predict for Biden.

The only map I found is this:

This map has too much bullshit to actually be true.

I am hypothesizing that this was not the correct map and since I couldn't find an actual map... I decided to make my own map to try and get the EV score.

What I found is that when you add up all the states that went the closest to Donald Trump, it would look like this:

Could this be the final result? Maybe but probably not...

Doubt Oregon will go to him, regardless of their problems. We shall see

odds are it will be a landslide on trump end, dems will contest it, demand a recount and an investigation..then investigation will show that dems cheated and total count was worse than anybody imagined on the dem side

Yep. Let's hope enough Portland Antifa members get arrested lol.

They won't vote anyway

All they care about is destruction.

Yeah, also for the map... you can go either way if you want Oregon to be red or Connecticut to be red but keep in mind that Oregon went closer to Trump.

Also many New Yorkers are moving Connecticut or New Jersey anyways.

The election will begin to be over election night

It will be a bit of a process but that is the beginning of the end

pandemic*

dem panic

same letters ...just different meaning

<:thinking:726878987837636698>

the pandemic is going to either disappear on election night, or its all of a sudden going to get 10 times worse "because Trump is incompetent" .... im almost thinking theyre going to refuse to let a tragedy go to waste and use it as much as they can. going to disappear from the media for a while though before it blows up again

I'm torn between of it will end after the election but I also know too well that now these governors have been given unlimited power that they won't want to give that up so I'm leaning towards they will drag this out for years till people stand up and tell them ENOUGH!

What y'all think the Senate race is gonna be?

I'm less worried about this race since we have many pathways to a majority.

Some states I'm not sure there are even enough dead people Dems can dig up to turn them Blue instead of Red.

the problem with civil wars and mass casualty events, alot of dead ppl get unmarked graves, so the dems can't make them vote in the future

I am in westerm WA state.
Myself and almost everyone I know are voting for Trump. If I walk the block I see US and Trump flags. People wear Trump clothes sometimes too. Now with the fires, and the President talking about sending in the federal government to end it no matter what the state government thinks, I believe there will be even more (and more enthusiastic) support for Trump. We are ripe with voter fraud and have only ever had mail-in voting, so I really hope that can get cleaned up! If Trump does stop the arsonists then he will have single handedly stopped climate change, and isn't that what the left wants?! WA ❤️ Trump 2020 <:salut:730846445732888630>

My face when neither of the people who’ve voted that they saw “Cuties” was Joe Biden:

<:Surprised_pikachu:726878373762301995>

@Armenelos Also vote for a new governor too. 🙂

This is my prediction (grey states are toss-up in my opinion.)

I feel hopeful for MN. 🤷‍♂️