Ew Nevada seems to be catching the COMMIEFORNIA-19 blues

It better not catch the communist ones.

Michigan polls are wierd as hell.

I guess that's the problem with left leaning polls. :|

@Deleted User

A bit over the top but like

Yah

I never trust polls.

There easy to skew one way or another.

most polls are done on college campuses or msm studios

been like 10yrs since i've seen a polling done house to house or at a shopping mall

Same here

Thats why I never trust them

Polls suck. They were wrong in 2016/2018, and they'll be wrong in 2020 as well!

Remember, both Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden served under the Obama administration and have committed crimes from oversees.

Only difference is Hillary Clinton is energized and had the black and woman vote while Joe Biden only has the black vote but is VERY sleepy.

The Dems aren't giving their best, I have to say.

When have they ever?

Even basing predictions around Mayor/Governor turnouts isn't super reliable anymore.

A lot of surveying of Union Democrats/Blue collar workers that vote for Democrats Locally are favoring Trump and Republicans on a National level because of how well the economy did.

On top of that, different polling groups have come to admit flat out that they can't accurately track Trump's Voter base for many reasons, but one likely reason is that they flat out refuse to participate in polling.

There's also the shy Trump voters which are looming around which could turn the odds of an election against polling. Some are saying that it's harder to get Trump voters because they barely pick up the phone to other numbers.

At this point, there is no real reliable poll to predict these elections.

Rasmussen seems to be relatively reliable. they nailed 2016 and arent so horribly biased that they want to avoid polling Trump supporters to sway their results. Dont truly trust the polls personally, dont really care for them too much, but if I had to pick one... it would be them.

I was looking at pollsters and I come across one made by helmut norpoth.

Who is that?

What it says is that Donald Trump has a 91% chance over Joe Biden whom has a 9% chance to win the presidency.

Can you link it? Sounds like an interesting read

I am trying to find what states they are polling by it is still pretty difficult.

http://primarymodel.com

Sure.

Thanks!

I am trying to figure out which states they predict for Trump and which states they predict for Biden.

The only map I found is this:

This map has too much bullshit to actually be true.

I am hypothesizing that this was not the correct map and since I couldn't find an actual map... I decided to make my own map to try and get the EV score.

What I found is that when you add up all the states that went the closest to Donald Trump, it would look like this:

Could this be the final result? Maybe but probably not...

Doubt Oregon will go to him, regardless of their problems. We shall see