Message from @Captain Conundrum

Discord ID: 694210749928833125


2020-03-30 15:31:51 UTC  

Fauci even said himself viruses don't work that way, people don't get reinfected in a short time

2020-03-30 15:32:32 UTC  

it's more likely the amount of contact of doctors have, it overwhelms the system

2020-03-30 15:32:35 UTC  

I'm not sure I get this part "18 months from about a month ago we should have immunity/vaccines." could you rephrase please?

2020-03-30 15:32:54 UTC  

18 months is what the timetable EVERYONE says to a vaccine

2020-03-30 15:33:11 UTC  

or it will have gone through enough people anyway to have herd immunity

2020-03-30 15:33:52 UTC  

Fauci, Bill Gates, Trump's other team members, other medical pros

2020-03-30 15:34:02 UTC  

How many days have lapsed, how many died so far, what says the deaths are slowing down?

2020-03-30 15:35:15 UTC  

logarithmic analysis shows the numbers climb then experience a steep drop off of new cases/deaths in each country that has mitigated this so far

2020-03-30 15:36:07 UTC  

All the authoritarians and street corner bell-ringers are just having their day

2020-03-30 15:37:59 UTC  

**31 days have passed**, in the **US 2,606 have died so far** and the rate is at an **exponentially increasing rate**. I think 200 000 isn't a too high estimate... Especially not if we need at least 18 months for a working vaccine. (don't forget production, logistics)

2020-03-30 15:38:20 UTC  

Not if the curve falls off because of the measures already taken

2020-03-30 15:38:49 UTC  

I see. I hope that happens too, though I have no evidence to support it. Unfortunately.

2020-03-30 15:39:05 UTC  

Chyna

2020-03-30 15:41:29 UTC  

Considering the number of cases is likely much higher than tested, confirmed cases

2020-03-30 15:41:42 UTC  

means the death % drops

2020-03-30 15:42:21 UTC  

more people will get beds as we buy time to ramp up medical facilities, means a better chance of survival

2020-03-30 15:43:08 UTC  

Beds don't just magically appear should you need them

2020-03-30 15:43:16 UTC  

Nor does the staff to men the devices

2020-03-30 15:43:23 UTC  

Plus they(staff) are falling sick themselves

2020-03-30 15:43:43 UTC  

Not seeing the optimism pillars supporting the hope here man, but I am happy to be corrected

2020-03-30 15:45:40 UTC  

200,000 is a very small number

2020-03-30 15:46:41 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/678532257924907018/694211001066717255/logcovid.PNG

2020-03-30 15:46:44 UTC  

We can lose 90,000 in a bad year just from the flu

2020-03-30 15:47:36 UTC  

even if you don't believe China's numbers...look at South Korea. Italy is just starting to turn the corner.

2020-03-30 15:49:10 UTC  

Yeah, I get it and agree all nations should follow suit

2020-03-30 15:49:18 UTC  

But they haven't been

2020-03-30 15:49:50 UTC  

At least this should help some people, hopefully and not kill too many.

2020-03-30 15:51:27 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/678532257924907018/694212204303482910/deathslog.PNG

2020-03-30 15:55:13 UTC  

Italy leveling off there too in the total deaths/new daily deaths. They'll show what to expect in the next couple weeks

2020-03-30 15:55:36 UTC  

Thats if italy isnt lyin

2020-03-30 15:56:38 UTC  

Probably not about the deaths, they haven't the capability to really test everyone they need to so as with many places the accuracy of cases is questionable.

2020-03-30 15:56:39 UTC  

well, everyone's lying then because they can't test everyone. I doubt Italy would cover up number of deaths.

why look at italy when you can look at SK?

2020-03-30 15:57:34 UTC  

True

they have been meticulously tracking every single case and isolating them so that is the most accurate number we possibly could get.

Italy has so far not done that because of the limitations: laws and industrial capacity.

2020-03-30 15:58:42 UTC  

Because South Korea locked down early, they have a small country and a unified culture. The US would experience things more like Italy

2020-03-30 15:59:13 UTC  

Wait...I don't understand you **donborvio**. I thought they reopened Wuhan and they are having again problems with the resurgence of cases.

2020-03-30 15:59:29 UTC  

What makes you think that won't happen anywhere else.

2020-03-30 15:59:58 UTC  

I haven't seen reliable reporting that says that.