Message from @Deleted User
Discord ID: 625887822922121216
Can't change your mind about what you've seen the fans say. Everything has annoying fans though.
If by that you mean "it's only good if you get super high first"then yes I agree @Deleted User
^
@A. Spader you get me
Thanks man
Im not sure that's a compliment
I took it as one
Truly, the only good music is pre-baroque classical music.
Anything after is degeneracy
Renaissance music? No
Post Beethoven romantic era
And a little impressionist/ modern
A couple years ago I saw a video by an insurance something-or-other numbers guy who concluded we're overdue for a collapse.
I'm sorry I can't find it now, but something-something numbers said we *should* have had a global collapse something like a few years before he made the video based on average occasion.
In the hopes someone else knows what I'm talking about, he compared it to a 1ØØ year flood...
You can't predict chaotic catastrophic events. 100 year floods don't happen on 100 year intervals either.
The historian apparently doesn't know how history works;
*"The term "100-year flood" is used in an attempt to simplify the definition of a flood that statistically has a 1-percent chance of occurring in any given year. Likewise, the term "100-year storm" is used to define a rainfall event that statistically has this same 1-percent chance of occurring."*
https://www.usgs.gov/special-topic/water-science-school/science/100-year-flood
At least try making it **hard**...
Well, making me mad had one beneficial side effect:
https://medium.com/s/story/the-surprisingly-solid-mathematical-case-of-the-tin-foil-hat-gun-prepper-15fce7d10437
Are you talking to me? Why are you mad?
He was born in the mad, molded by it. He didn't see calm till he was already a man
The thing he posted agrees with what I said. 1 percent chance in a given year =/= occurs at 100 year intervals.
hey guys I can math
¿What is this *"calm"* you speak of? It strikes me as a four-letter word...
But a one percent chance every year doesn't like stack or some shit. You could go every year for a thousand years and never roll a 1 so to speak
I mean over the very long term, it should *average* to 100 years per flood, but the chance that there will be one in any given 100 year period is only like 65%.
And you can go three years and hit natural 1 all of them... So there's that.
And *"Peace"* is a dirty word.
Screenshot that... BTW, Mark owes you a small thank you. 🤣🤣🤣🤣
63.4% according to my quick calculation...
1 - (0.99^100) = 0.634
Probability is weird.
Anyways... The point is, even with his gross underestimatation (we've had 5 civil wars so far, we only CALL one of them a civil war), we are currently overdue for a crisis.
wat
What are the other four?
That I can see, but what were the others O___o
The Baltimore riots were another one I can _maybe_ see
Maybe he's counting the uprising in... I wanna say Athens?
lil town, rigging their elections, townsfolk didn't like that so much, rooty tooty point and shooty occured
@Deleted User
Whiskey/Shay's Rebellion, Unionization Wars (when a ***BOMBER*** is part of the *"protest," it's a war*), McMinn County War (Louis got one), and the Westward Wars (railmen v. farmers, cattlemen v. sheepherders [and each other], etc.).
I've previously heard of exactly *one* of those
Remember, *'civil war'* means the people against each other, be it directly or by proxy (the government). The English Civil War didn't involve the Crown until the last couple years... At which point it was going 2Ø-ish years.
SPADER, the McMinn County War is also known as The Battle Of Athens... So 2...
it was the Whiskey rebellion I knew of